Adrian Mannarino and Dmitry Popko will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Morelia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:30 pm on ESTADIO TRES MARIAS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.3
Dmitry Popko -> 3.26
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Dmitry Popko
There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Dmitry Popko since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Stefano Napolitano 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Mannarino had a good straight sets win against Napolitano (6-3 6-2). During the match, Mannarino scored 67 points vs Napolitano’s 46. Adrian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mannarino recorded 2 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (27/37) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Napolitano 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Mannarino has won exactly 50% of his matches (269-269) in the last 10 years. 2-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mannarino has a compiled 121-119 match record in the last years on hard.
Mannarino has an overall 2-11 win-loss record in 2025, 2-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelia Challenger
Adrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Dmitry Popko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-11 | 10-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-33 | 7-2 | 57-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-20 | 1-1 | 38-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-30 | 11-11 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-34 | 0-4 | 27-19 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 245, Popko reached the 2nd round after beating Terence Atmane 7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3.
In the 1st round, Dmitry defeated Atmane (7-66 6-74 6-3). During the match Popko scored 118 points vs Atmane’s 110. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Popko blasted 8 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Dmitry Popko was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (48/59) of his 1st serve and 60% (29/48) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Atmane twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Popko has a composed 6-10 win-loss record in 2025, 2-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 35 |
| Pts | 67-46 | 118-110 |
| Total Points | 113 | 228 |
| Winners | 27 | 48 |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% |
Both Mannarino and Popko played 1 match. At the moment, Dmitry Popko lost 1 set while Adrian Mannarino hasn’t lost a set so far. Mannarino has played 1 set(s) less than Popko (2 vs 3). Therefore, Mannarino played 18 games less than Popko. Adrian scored 27 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani made 48 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 8 |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 59/107 |
| %1st in | 66% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 48/59 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 29/48 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 60% |
Mannarino made 2 aces . Popko recorded 8 aces . Mannarino won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Popko won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/8 |
| % Converted | 44% | 25% |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 3 |
| % Saved | 86% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The French player broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Popko was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Mannarino | |||
| R1 Napolitano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 67-46 | 67-46 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 37/56 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 27/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Popko | |||
| R1 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-74 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 35 | |
| pts | 118-110 | 118-110 | |
| Total points | 228 | 228 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 59/107 | 59/107 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 48/59 | 48/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/48 | 29/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWLWLLL
LWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Morelia Challenger
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Tyler ZinkZink (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Dmitry PopkoPopko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernard TomicTomic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
