Novak Djokovic and Sebastian Korda will fight against each other in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:30 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.27
Sebastian Korda -> 3.76
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 2nd time that Novak Djokovic and Sebastian Korda square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Djokovic won 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 in the final in Adelaide back in 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Sebastian Korda – Adelaide 08-January-2023
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Djokovic got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Rinky Hijikata 6-0 7-6(1), Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 7-6(1) and Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-2.
In the 4th round, Novak had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-2 6-2). During the match, Djokovic scored 62 points vs Musetti’s 40. Novak was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Musetti 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Djokovic has an extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (448-80). 10-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has an overall 197-32 match record in the last years on hard.
Novak’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .
Djokovic has a composed 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Sebastian got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Eliot Spizzirri 6-4 6-2, Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6(4) 6-3 and Gael Monfils 6-4 2-6 6-4.
In the 4th round, The American defeated Monfils (6-4 2-6 6-4).During the match Korda scored less points (2) than Monfils. In fact, the world no. 5 won 82 points vs Monfils’s. That means that Korda was more focused during the important points. Korda was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Korda scored 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 59% of his first serves in, winning 80% (39/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Monfils twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the final Adelaide.
The American has an overall 6-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 68 |
| Pts | 202-140 | 215-197 |
| Total Points | 342 | 412 |
| Winners | 96 | 100 |
| %Winners | 48% | 47% |
Both Djokovic and Korda played 3 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Korda lost 1 set while Novak Djokovic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Djokovic has played 1 set(s) less than Korda (6 vs 7). Therefore, Djokovic played 13 games less than Korda. Djokovic scored 96 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian bagged 100 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 120/159 | 130/214 |
| %1st in | 75% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 96/120 | 100/130 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 23/39 | 39/84 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 46% |
Djokovic made 20 aces (6.7 per match). Korda blasted 19 aces (6.3 per match). Djokovic won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/29 | 9/16 |
| % Converted | 38% | 56% |
| Conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Saved | 2 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Djokovic broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Djokovic surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | |||||
| R2 Hijikata |
R3 Ugo |
R4 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-61 | 6-1 7-61 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 16 | 55 | |
| pts | 68-44 | 72-56 | 62-40 | 202-140 | |
| Total points | 112 | 128 | 102 | 342 | |
| Winners | 33 | 39 | 24 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 54% | 39% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 10 | 1 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 39/49 | 49/64 | 32/46 | 120/159 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 77% | 70% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 39/49 | 24/32 | 96/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 80% | 75% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/10 | 7/15 | 8/14 | 23/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 47% | 57% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/7 | 5/12 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 43% | 42% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 0% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Korda | |||||
| R2 Spizzirri |
R3 Tsitsipas |
R4 Monfils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-64 6-3 | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 28 | 68 | |
| pts | 62-52 | 71-61 | 82-84 | 215-197 | |
| Total points | 114 | 132 | 166 | 412 | |
| Winners | 27 | 34 | 39 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% | 48% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 6 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 45/74 | 49/83 | 130/214 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 61% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 34/45 | 39/49 | 100/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 76% | 80% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 14/29 | 15/34 | 39/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | 44% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/4 | 2/6 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 33% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/6 | 1/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 33% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLLLW
LWWWLLLWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (4-6 7-5 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-76 6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Yuki Bhambri/Nuno BorgesBhambri/Nuno Borges (7-61 3-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Sebastian Korda/Jordan ThompsonKorda/Jordan Thompson (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
