Taylor Fritz and Matteo Berrettini will face off in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.59
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 5th time that Taylor Fritz and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Fritz won 6-3 7-6(1) 6-1 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.
Highlights Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Berrettini – U.S. Open 28-August-2024
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-10 | 13-5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Taylor got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Lorenzo Sonego 7-6(2) 6-3, Denis Shapovalov 7-5 6-3 and Adam Walton 6-3 7-5.
In the 4th round, Taylor had a good straight sets win against Walton (6-3 7-5). During the match, Fritz scored 52 points vs Walton’s 32. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fritz wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Taylor Fritz lost the serve 5 times. Furthermore, Fritz put 98% of his first serves in, winning 53% (23/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 100% (1/1) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Walton 7 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fritz hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.
Fritz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (375-224). 12-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Fritz has a compiled 221-113 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4).
Fritz has an aggregate 13-5 win-loss record in 2025, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-10 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Matteo got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Hugo Gaston 4-6 6-3 6-3, Zizou Bergs 6-4 6-4 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 7-6(7).
In the 4th round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-3 7-67). During the match Berrettini scored 77 points vs De Minaur’s 73. Berrettini was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Berrettini bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 58% of his first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke De Minaur 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Berrettini has an aggregate 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 70 |
| Pts | 199-145 | 239-203 |
| Total Points | 344 | 442 |
| Winners | 87 | 107 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Both Fritz and Berrettini played 3 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini lost 1 set while Taylor Fritz hasn’t lost a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set(s) less than Berrettini (6 vs 7). Therefore, Fritz played 6 games less than Berrettini. Fritz scored 87 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Berrettini fired 107 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 120/165 | 139/212 |
| %1st in | 73% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 87/120 | 107/139 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 29/45 | 39/73 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 53% |
Fritz recorded 18 aces (6 per match). Berrettini recorded 20 aces (6.7 per match). Fritz won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/18 | 9/29 |
| % Converted | 61% | 31% |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 33% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 4 |
Taylor broke his opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Berrettini broke his opponents 9 times with a 31% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||||
| R2 Sonego |
R3 Shapovalov |
R4 Walton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 21 | 64 | |
| pts | 82-67 | 65-46 | 52-32 | 199-145 | |
| Total points | 149 | 111 | 84 | 344 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | 23 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 49% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 0 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 38/59 | 43/44 | 120/165 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 98% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 32/38 | 23/43 | 87/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 84% | 53% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 12/21 | 1/1 | 29/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 57% | 100% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | |
| Converted | 1/7 | 3/4 | 7/7 | 11/18 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 75% | 100% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 0/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 0% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Berrettini | |||||
| R2 Gaston |
R3 Bergs |
R4 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 22 | 70 | |
| pts | 92-75 | 70-55 | 77-73 | 239-203 | |
| Total points | 167 | 125 | 150 | 442 | |
| Winners | 43 | 28 | 36 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% | 47% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 3 | 7 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 53/71 | 37/56 | 49/85 | 139/212 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 66% | 58% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 43/53 | 28/37 | 36/49 | 107/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 73% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 12/19 | 16/36 | 39/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 63% | 44% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/12 | 3/7 | 9/29 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 25% | 43% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 78% | 26% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWLWW
LWLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Sebastian Korda/Jordan ThompsonKorda/Jordan Thompson (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
