Adrian Mannarino and Stefano Napolitano will face off in the 1st round of the Morelia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 5:00 pm on ESTADIO TRES MARIAS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.49
Stefano Napolitano -> 2.47
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Stefano Napolitano
This will be the 2nd time that Adrian Mannarino and Stefano Napolitano play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mannarino (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Mannarino won 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 in the 1st round in S hertogenbosch back in 2024.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, Adrian will start his run in the Morelia Challenger after he played his last match in Miami where he lost 3-6 6-4 6-2 to Quinn in the qualifications on the 17th of March.
The French player has a composed 1-11 win-loss record in 2025, 1-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, The French player has an overall 665-545 record. He has a positive 268-202 record on hard.
Previously in the Morelia Challenger
Adrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Stefano Napolitano
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 10-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-23 | 9-6 | 38-13 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-24 | 1-1 | 20-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-17 | 1-2 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 251, Stefano got to the 1st round after beating Leonardo Aguilar 6-0 6-0 and Robin Catry 6-4 4-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Italian defeated Catry (6-4 4-6 6-2). During the match Napolitano scored 93 points vs Catry’s 73. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Napolitano recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Stefano Napolitano lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Napolitano put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the 2nd serve. Stefano broke Catry 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Napolitano started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
Stefano has a compiled 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Head 2 Head
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WWL Tennis Scores in Morelia Challenger
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Nicolas MejiaMejia (6-4 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Jurij RodionovRodionov (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Alan Fernando Rubio FierrosFernando Rubio Fierros (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- James Kent TrotterKent Trotter – James McCabeMcCabe (6-79 7-61 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Brandon HoltHolt (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alfredo PerezPerez – Tyler ZinkZink (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kiranpal PannuPannu – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Dmitry PopkoPopko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
