Tomas Machac and Jakub Mensik will play each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jakub Mensik who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jakub Mensik is the pick to win this match.
Jakub Mensik -> 1.9
Tomas Machac -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Jakub Mensik

This will be the 2nd time that Tomas Machac and Jakub Mensik play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Machac (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Machac won 6-4 2-6 6-3 in the 1st round in Acapulco back in February 2025.

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

14 - 5win/loss

Hard
11-4
I Hard
3-1
Rank
21
High
20
WWLWWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-5 11-4 0-0 3-1 0-0 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2

Ranked no. 21, Machac got to the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 1-6 6-3 and Reilly Opelka 7-6(1) 6-3.

In the 3rd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Opelka (7-61 6-3). During the match, Machac scored 67 points vs Opelka’s 50. Tomas was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Machac struck 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Tomas Machac was quite efficient on serve to win 90% (35/39) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Czech was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Opelka once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Machac has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Machac has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (271-136). 11-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Machac has a composed83-37 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Acapulco where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Machac has a composed 14-5 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Miami
Machac's Record

Jakub Mensik

Jakub Mensik

14 - 7win/loss

Hard
13-6
I Hard
1-1
Rank
54
High
45
WWWLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-7 13-6 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 41-27 26-12 6-4 7-6 2-5 0-0
2023 37-23 10-6 17-11 10-6 0-0 0-0
2022 37-16 18-4 17-10 0-1 0-0 2-1
2021 1-4 0-0 1-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 54, the Czech got to the 4th round after beating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 3-6 6-1, Jack Draper 7-6(2) 7-6(3) and Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Jakub had a good straight sets win against Safiullin (6-4 6-4). During the match Mensik scored 55 points vs Safiullin’s 50. The Czech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Mensik fired 15 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jakub Mensik conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 75% of his first serves in, win 88% (36/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. Mensik was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Safiullin twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jakub has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Mensik’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Cap Cana Challenger.

The Czech has a composed 14-7 win-loss record in 2025, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

Miami
Mensik's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Machac
J.Mensik
2h:58
2h:58
Time on court​
!
4h:59
4h:59
1h:14
1h:14
Last match​
1h:12
1h:12
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
46
46
Games Played​
72
72
5
5
Set played​​
7
7
146
146
Total points​
226
226
73
73
Avg point​
75.3
75.3
71
71
Winners
127
127
35.5
35.5
Avg Winners​
42.3
42.3
49%
49%
Ratio winners
56%
56%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
59
59
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
!
19.7
19.7
7
7
Double Faults
4
4
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
71/92
71/92
1st won total​
127/148
127/148
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
86%
86%
26/43
26/43
2nd won total​
29/69
29/69
60%
60%
2nd won %
42%
42%
-- Break Points --
4/6
4/6
BP won
6/16
6/16
2/3
2/3
Avg BP won
2/5.3
2/5.3
!
67%
67%
Won
38%
38%
6
6
Conceded
10
10
3
3
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
2
2
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
4
4
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Machac Mensik
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 7
Tot Games 46 72
Pts 146-122 226-204
Total Points 268 430
Winners 71 127
%Winners 49% 56%

Machac played 2 matches while Mensik competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tomas Machac dropped 1 set, while Jakub Mensik lost 1 set. Machac has played 2 set(s) less than Mensik (5 vs 7). Therefore, Machac played 26 games less than Mensik. Tomas scored 71 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Jakub blasted 127 winners (56%).

Serve Performance

Serve Machac Mensik
Aces 13 59
Avg per match 6.5 19.7
1st in 92/135 148/217
%1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 71/92 127/148
%1st pts 77% 86%
2nd pts 26/43 29/69
%2nd pts 60% 42%

Machac blasted 13 aces (6.5 per match). Mensik made 59 aces (19.7 per match). Machac won 77% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Mensik won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Machac Mensik
Won 4 6
Converted 4/6 6/16
% Converted 67% 38%
Conceded 6 10
Saved 4 8
% Saved 67% 80%
Times Broken 2 2

Machac broke his opponents 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Machac dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Jakub broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Mensik conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Machac
R2
Arnaldi
R3
Opelka
Total
Score 6-2 1-6 6-3 7-61 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 24 22 46
pts 79-72 67-50 146-122
Total points 151 117 268
Winners 36 35 71
%Winners 46% 52% 49%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 13
Double Faults 6 1 7
1st in 53/77 39/58 92/135
% 1st in 69% 67% 68%
1st pts 36/53 35/39 71/92
% 1st pts 68% 90% 77%
2nd pts 13/24 13/19 26/43
% 2nd pts 54% 68% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 1 4
Converted 3/5 1/1 4/6
Converted % 60% 100% 67%
Conceded 6 0 6
Saved 4/6 0/0 4
Saved % 67% 34%
Times Broken 2 0 2
Mensik
R1
Bautista-Agut
R2
Draper
R3
Safiullin
Total
Score 6-4 3-6 6-1 7-62 7-63 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 26 26 20 72
pts 83-74 88-80 55-50 226-204
Total points 157 168 105 430
Winners 48 43 36 127
%Winners 58% 49% 65% 56%
SERVE
Aces 23 21 15 59
Double Faults 3 0 1 4
1st in 57/86 50/76 41/55 148/217
% 1st in 66% 66% 75% 68%
1st pts 48/57 43/50 36/41 127/148
% 1st pts 84% 86% 88% 86%
2nd pts 9/29 14/26 6/14 29/69
% 2nd pts 31% 54% 43% 42%
Breaks
Won 3 1 2 6
Converted 3/5 1/9 2/2 6/16
Converted % 60% 11% 100% 38%
Conceded 8 2 0 10
Saved 7/8 1/2 0/0 8
Saved % 88% 50% 69%
Times Broken 1 1 0 2

Tennis Scores in Miami

Upcoming matches in the draw