Jasmine Paolini and Magda Linette will play each other in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.59
Magda Linette -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Magda Linette
This will be the 4th time that Jasmine Paolini and Magda Linette square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Linette (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Linette won 6-4 6-0 in the 3rd round in Beijing back in 2024.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Rebecca Sramkova 6-4 6-4, Ons Jabeur 4-3 ret. and Naomi Osaka 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 4th round against Osaka, Jasmine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Paolini scored less points (4) than Osaka. In fact, the world no. 7 won 97 points vs Osaka’s. That means that Paolini was more focused during the important points. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 74% of her first serves in, winning 62% (52/84) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Osaka 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 51% of the points she played.
Paolini has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (321-236). 11-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has a compiled 115-91 record in the last years on hard.
Paolini has an overall 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Magda Linette
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-8 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-27 | 11-16 | 16-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 19-15 | 4-7 | 0-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-29 | 23-16 | 10-7 | 3-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 5-6 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Magda got to the quarter after defeating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 7-6(3) 6-2, Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-6(5) 6-2, Linda Fruhvirtova 7-5 6-4 and Cori Gauff 6-4 6-4.
In the 4th round, Linette had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 6-4). During the match Linette scored 70 points vs Gauff’s 60. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Linette couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Magda Linette lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Linette put 63% of her first serves in, winning 66% (27/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Linette broke Gauff 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Magda hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Pole has an aggregate 11-8 win-loss record in 2025, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 84 |
| Pts | 199-194 | 301-264 |
| Total Points | 393 | 565 |
| Winners | 96 | 117 |
| %Winners | 48% | 39% |
Paolini played 3 matches while Linette competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini lost 1 set while Magda Linette hasn’t lost a set so far. Paolini has played 1 set(s) less than Linette (7 vs 8). Therefore, Paolini played 28 games less than Linette. Jasmine scored 96 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Magda scored 117 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 0.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 154/219 | 166/288 |
| %1st in | 70% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 96/154 | 117/166 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 29/65 | 69/122 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 57% |
Paolini bagged 2 aces (0.7 per match). Linette scored 15 aces (3.8 per match). Paolini won 62% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Linette won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 14 |
| Converted | 10/21 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 48% | 52% |
| Conceded | 30 | 29 |
| Saved | 22 | 23 |
| % Saved | 73% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 6 |
Paolini broke her opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Paolini surrendered her serve 8 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded. The Pole broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Linette conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||||
| R2 Sramkova |
R3 Jabeur |
R4 Osaka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 4-3 ret. | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 7 | 29 | 56 | |
| pts | 80-71 | 22-22 | 97-101 | 199-194 | |
| Total points | 151 | 44 | 198 | 393 | |
| Winners | 32 | 12 | 52 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 55% | 54% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 52/77 | 18/28 | 84/114 | 154/219 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 64% | 74% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 32/52 | 12/18 | 52/84 | 96/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 67% | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/25 | 4/10 | 16/30 | 29/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 40% | 53% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 1/1 | 3/5 | 10/21 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 100% | 60% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 3 | 15 | 30 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 2/3 | 12/15 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 80% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| Linette | ||||||
| R1 Pavlyuchenkova |
R2 Alexandrova |
R3 Fruhvirtova |
R4 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 | 7-65 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 84 | |
| pts | 81-69 | 71-62 | 79-73 | 70-60 | 301-264 | |
| Total points | 150 | 133 | 152 | 130 | 565 | |
| Winners | 36 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% | 32% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 45/84 | 41/66 | 39/73 | 41/65 | 166/288 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 62% | 53% | 63% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 29/41 | 25/39 | 27/41 | 117/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 71% | 64% | 66% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 16/25 | 20/34 | 13/24 | 69/122 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 64% | 59% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/5 | 4/10 | 4/6 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 40% | 67% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 29 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 4/5 | 9/11 | 1/3 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 80% | 82% | 33% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWLWLW
WWWWLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Mateo Nicolas MartinezNicolas Martinez – Luca GiacominiGiacomini (4-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Skander MansouriMansouri – Imanol Lopez MorilloLopez Morillo (6-2 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Ricardo Rodriguez-PaceRodriguez-Pace (6-1 3-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Michal DembekDembek (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-1) – H2H and prediction
