Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng will play each other in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.27
Qinwen Zheng -> 3.76
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng
This will be the 6th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng play each other. The head to head is 5-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-4 in the R in Riyadh back in 2024.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng – Riyadh 02-November-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-4 | 20-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-0, Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-1 ret. and Danielle Rose Collins 6-4 6-4.
In the 4th round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Collins (6-4 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 64 points vs Collins’s 51. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 7 aces and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of her 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belarussian broke Collins 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (394-172). 20-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate 247-96 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.
Sabalenka has an aggregate 20-4 win-loss record in 2025, 20-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Qinwen reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Lauren Davis 6-1 7-5, Taylor Townsend 6-1 7-6(3) and Ashlyn Krueger 6-2 7-6(3).
In the 4th round, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Krueger (6-2 7-63). During the match Zheng scored 68 points vs Krueger’s 54. Zheng was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Zheng recorded 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Qinwen Zheng was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of her 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Qinwen broke Krueger 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
The Chinese has a composed 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 60 |
| Pts | 156-101 | 191-137 |
| Total Points | 257 | 328 |
| Winners | 56 | 81 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Both Sabalenka and Zheng played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Zheng have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Sabalenka played 18 games less than Zheng. The Belarussian scored 56 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Qinwen struck 81 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 78/122 | 99/167 |
| %1st in | 64% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 56/78 | 81/99 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 28/44 | 45/68 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 66% |
Sabalenka managed to score 11 aces (3.7 per match). Zheng blasted 20 aces (6.7 per match). Sabalenka won 72% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 82% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/23 | 9/15 |
| % Converted | 48% | 60% |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 63% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Aryna lost her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Zheng broke her opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Zheng conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Tomova |
R3 Gabriela Ruse |
R4 Collins |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-1 ret. | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 7 | 20 | 42 | |
| pts | 60-33 | 32-17 | 64-51 | 156-101 | |
| Total points | 93 | 49 | 115 | 257 | |
| Winners | 16 | 12 | 28 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 38% | 44% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 24/41 | 17/28 | 37/53 | 78/122 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 70% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 16/24 | 12/17 | 28/37 | 56/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 71% | 76% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 7/11 | 9/16 | 28/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 64% | 56% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 2/3 | 3/9 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 67% | 33% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Zheng | |||||
| R2 Davis |
R3 Townsend |
R4 Krueger |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-1 7-63 | 6-2 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 21 | 60 | |
| pts | 60-39 | 63-44 | 68-54 | 191-137 | |
| Total points | 99 | 107 | 122 | 328 | |
| Winners | 25 | 30 | 26 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 48% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 3 | 5 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 34/55 | 32/60 | 99/167 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 62% | 53% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 30/34 | 26/32 | 81/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 88% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 14/21 | 18/28 | 45/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 67% | 64% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 67% | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWWL
WWWLWWWLLL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Skander MansouriMansouri – Imanol Lopez MorilloLopez Morillo (6-2 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Ricardo Rodriguez-PaceRodriguez-Pace (6-1 3-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Michal DembekDembek (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mateo Nicolas MartinezNicolas Martinez – Luca GiacominiGiacomini (4-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-1) – H2H and prediction
