Grigor Dimitrov and Brandon Nakashima will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.55
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.45
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 3rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Nakashima won 7-6(5) 7-5 6-3 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.
Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Grigor Dimitrov – U.S. Open 01-September-2022
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, the Bulgarian reached the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Federico Cina 6-1 6-4 and Karen Khachanov 6-7(3) 6-4 7-5.
In the 3rd round against Khachanov, The Bulgarian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 7-5). During the match, Dimitrov scored 111 points vs Khachanov’s 94. The Bulgarian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dimitrov fired 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (54/67) of his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Bulgarian broke Khachanov twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Grigor has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Dimitrov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (301-180). 7-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Dimitrov has a compiled 157-90 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Grigor’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Brisbane.
The Bulgarian has an aggregate 7-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-8 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Nakashima reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 4-6 6-3 and David Goffin 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Brandon defeated Goffin (6-3 6-75 6-3). During the match Nakashima scored 107 points vs Goffin’s 87. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 67% of his first serves in, winning 84% (53/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Goffin 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Nakashima’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Acapulco.
The American has a composed 10-7 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 60 |
| Pts | 174-134 | 206-175 |
| Total Points | 308 | 381 |
| Winners | 80 | 105 |
| %Winners | 46% | 51% |
Both Dimitrov and Nakashima played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Grigor Dimitrov dropped 1 set, while Brandon Nakashima surrendered 2 sets. Dimitrov has played 1 set(s) less than Nakashima (5 vs 6). Therefore, Dimitrov played 8 games less than Nakashima. Dimitrov scored 80 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Brandon recorded 105 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 13.5 |
| 1st in | 99/149 | 132/195 |
| %1st in | 66% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 80/99 | 105/132 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 34/50 | 29/63 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 46% |
Dimitrov recorded 17 aces (8.5 per match). Nakashima made 27 aces (13.5 per match). Dimitrov won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 29% | 47% |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Saved | 7 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Grigor broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Grigor quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 7 break points. Nakashima broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | ||||
| R2 Cina |
R3 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-73 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 35 | 52 | |
| pts | 63-40 | 111-94 | 174-134 | |
| Total points | 103 | 205 | 308 | |
| Winners | 26 | 54 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 13 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 67/95 | 99/149 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 71% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 54/67 | 80/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 20/28 | 34/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 71% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/10 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 20% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 5/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nakashima | ||||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
R3 Goffin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-75 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 31 | 60 | |
| pts | 99-88 | 107-87 | 206-175 | |
| Total points | 187 | 194 | 381 | |
| Winners | 52 | 53 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 50% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 14 | 13 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 69/101 | 63/94 | 132/195 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 52/69 | 53/63 | 105/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 84% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 15/31 | 29/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 48% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/10 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 50% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWLL
LWWLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Taylor FritzFritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-66 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-611 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-5 5-7 7-61) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-1 7-61) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-73 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-6(11) 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Joao FonsecaFonseca (5-7 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-7) – H2H and prediction
