Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerundolo will square off in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.73
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Francisco Cerundolo
This will be the 8th time that Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerundolo clash against each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), but Ruud leads 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Cerundolo won 6-4 6-4 in the R in Laver cup back in 2024.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Ruud got to the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Miomir Kecmanovic 3-6 6-4 6-4 and Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 7-6(4).
In the 3rd round, Casper had a good straight sets win against Tabilo (6-4 7-64). During the match, Ruud scored 75 points vs Tabilo’s 61. The Norwegian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ruud struck 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (34/39) of his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Casper broke Tabilo once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (403-214). 6-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an aggregate 112-71 record in the last years on hard.
Ruud’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Dallas.
Ruud has an aggregate 12-3 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Francisco Cerundolo
16 - 6win/loss
23
19
LWWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-7 | 8-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, the Argentine reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Alexandre Muller 6-1 6-2 and Tommy Paul 6-2 7-6(4).
In the 3rd round, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Paul (6-2 7-64). During the match Cerundolo scored 68 points vs Paul’s 52. Francisco was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Cerundolo scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 75% of his first serves in, winning 64% (28/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Paul 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cerundolo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Francisco’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Buenos Aires.
Cerundolo has a compiled 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 36 |
| Pts | 166-150 | 126-86 |
| Total Points | 316 | 212 |
| Winners | 88 | 50 |
| %Winners | 53% | 40% |
Both Ruud and Cerundolo played 2 matches. At the moment, Casper Ruud conceded 1 set while Francisco Cerundolo hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set more than Cerundolo (5 vs 4). Therefore, Ruud played 16 games more than Cerundolo. Casper scored 88 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Cerundolo made 50 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 110/161 | 73/101 |
| %1st in | 68% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 88/110 | 50/73 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 29/51 | 19/28 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 68% |
Ruud bagged 20 aces (10 per match). Cerundolo scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Ruud won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 10 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 10/15 |
| % Converted | 33% | 67% |
| Conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Saved | 10 | 1 |
| % Saved | 83% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Ruud broke his opponents 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Casper conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | ||||
| R2 Kecmanovic |
R3 Tabilo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 23 | 52 | |
| pts | 91-89 | 75-61 | 166-150 | |
| Total points | 180 | 136 | 316 | |
| Winners | 54 | 34 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 59% | 45% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 11 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 71/99 | 39/62 | 110/161 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 63% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 54/71 | 34/39 | 88/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 87% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/28 | 17/23 | 29/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 74% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 1/4 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 25% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 3/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 100% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Cerundolo | ||||
| R2 Muller |
R3 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 | 36 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 68-52 | 126-86 | |
| Total points | 92 | 120 | 212 | |
| Winners | 22 | 28 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 29/42 | 44/59 | 73/101 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 75% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 28/44 | 50/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 64% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 10/15 | 19/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 67% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/8 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 63% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWWWW
LWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Jakub MensikMensik – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-66 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-611 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-5 5-7 7-61) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-1 7-61) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-73 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-6(11) 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Joao FonsecaFonseca (5-7 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-7) – H2H and prediction
