Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti will square off in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.33
Lorenzo Musetti -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 9th time that Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti square off. The head to head is 7-1 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Djokovic won 6-4 6-2 in the semifinal in Paris back in 2024.
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Serbian reached the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Rinky Hijikata 6-0 7-6(1) and Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 7-6(1).
In the 3rd round, Djokovic had a good straight sets win against Ugo Carabelli (6-1 7-61). During the match, Djokovic scored 72 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 56. Novak was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic recorded 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve once. Furthermore, Djokovic put 77% of his first serves in, winning 80% (39/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Novak broke Ugo Carabelli 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Novak hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (447-80). 9-4 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has a compiled 196-32 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Novak’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .
Novak has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Musetti reached the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Quentin Halys 3-6 7-6(4) 7-5 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 4-6 6-2 6-3.
In the 3rd round against Auger-Aliassime, Musetti recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Musetti scored 96 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 87. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Musetti scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 65% of his first serves in, winning 67% (40/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (20/33) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Lorenzo has a compiled 7-3 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 61 |
| Pts | 140-100 | 209-199 |
| Total Points | 240 | 408 |
| Winners | 72 | 93 |
| %Winners | 51% | 44% |
Both Djokovic and Musetti played 2 matches. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 2 sets while Novak Djokovic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Djokovic has played 2 set(s) less than Musetti (4 vs 6). Therefore, Djokovic played 22 games less than Musetti. The Serbian scored 72 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo recorded 93 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 88/113 | 139/213 |
| %1st in | 78% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 72/88 | 93/139 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 45/74 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 61% |
Djokovic fired 19 aces (9.5 per match). Musetti recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Djokovic won 82% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/17 | 6/20 |
| % Converted | 35% | 30% |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 67% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Djokovic broke his opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||
| R2 Hijikata |
R3 Ugo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-61 | 6-1 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 39 | |
| pts | 68-44 | 72-56 | 140-100 | |
| Total points | 112 | 128 | 240 | |
| Winners | 33 | 39 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 54% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 10 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 39/49 | 49/64 | 88/113 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 77% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 39/49 | 72/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 80% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/10 | 7/15 | 15/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 47% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/7 | 6/17 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 43% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Musetti | ||||
| R2 Halys |
R3 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-64 7-5 | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 27 | 61 | |
| pts | 113-112 | 96-87 | 209-199 | |
| Total points | 225 | 183 | 408 | |
| Winners | 53 | 40 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 79/120 | 60/93 | 139/213 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 53/79 | 40/60 | 93/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/41 | 20/33 | 45/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 4/14 | 6/20 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 29% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 6/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 75% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLLWWWWW
WWLWWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Arthur FilsFils – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-611 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-66 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-5 5-7 7-61) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-1 7-61) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-73 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-6(11) 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Joao FonsecaFonseca (5-7 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-7) – H2H and prediction
