Sebastian Korda and Gael Monfils will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 12:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.727
Gael Monfils -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Gael Monfils
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Korda and Gael Monfils play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Monfils (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Monfils won 7-6(2) 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in Indian wells back in March 2025.
Highlights Gael Monfils vs Sebastian Korda – Indian wells 08-March-2025
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-7 | 6-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Sebastian got to the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Eliot Spizzirri 6-4 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6(4) 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Korda had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (7-64 6-3). During the match, Korda scored 71 points vs Tsitsipas’s 61. Sebastian was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Korda bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 61% of his first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Tsitsipas 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Korda hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Korda has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (247-160). 5-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Korda has a compiled 104-68 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide.
The American has a composed 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Gael Monfils
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-6 | 14-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-21 | 15-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-15 | 8-8 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-7 | 13-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-7 | 2-4 | 7-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, the French player reached the 4th round after beating Fabian Marozsan 6-3 3-6 6-4, Jiri Lehecka 6-1 3-6 7-6(8) and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-5 5-7 7-6(1).
In the 3rd round, Gael defeated Munar Clar (7-5 5-7 7-61). During the match Monfils scored 109 points vs Munar Clar’s 105. Gael was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about serving, Monfils recorded 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Gael Monfils lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Monfils put 66% of his first serves in, winning 78% (57/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (17/37) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Munar Clar 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Auckland where he overcame Zizou Bergs in the final 6-3 6-4.
Gael has a composed 14-4 win-loss record in 2025, 14-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Korda | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 94 |
| Pts | 133-113 | 300-276 |
| Total Points | 246 | 576 |
| Winners | 61 | 146 |
| %Winners | 46% | 49% |
Korda played 2 matches while Monfils competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Gael Monfils lost 3 sets while Sebastian Korda hasn’t conceded a set so far. Korda has played 5 set(s) less than Monfils (4 vs 9). Therefore, Korda played 54 games less than Monfils. Korda scored 61 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Gael recorded 146 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Korda | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 36 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 12 |
| 1st in | 81/131 | 186/282 |
| %1st in | 62% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 61/81 | 146/186 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 24/50 | 48/96 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 50% |
Korda fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Monfils made 36 aces (12 per match). Korda won 75% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Monfils won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Korda | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/10 | 8/21 |
| % Converted | 70% | 38% |
| Conceded | 10 | 16 |
| Saved | 7 | 10 |
| % Saved | 70% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Gael broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Gael conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Korda | ||||
| R2 Spizzirri |
R3 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 40 | |
| pts | 62-52 | 71-61 | 133-113 | |
| Total points | 114 | 132 | 246 | |
| Winners | 27 | 34 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 45/74 | 81/131 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 34/45 | 61/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 14/29 | 24/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/4 | 7/10 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Monfils | |||||
| R1 Marozsan |
R2 Lehecka |
R3 Munar Clar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 6-1 3-6 7-68 | 7-5 5-7 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 29 | 37 | 94 | |
| pts | 93-83 | 98-88 | 109-105 | 300-276 | |
| Total points | 176 | 186 | 214 | 576 | |
| Winners | 42 | 47 | 57 | 146 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 48% | 52% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 15 | 14 | 7 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 54/83 | 59/89 | 73/110 | 186/282 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 66% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 42/54 | 47/59 | 57/73 | 146/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 80% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 16/30 | 17/37 | 48/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 53% | 46% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/6 | 3/8 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 4/5 | 1/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 80% | 25% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWLLL
LWLWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Adam WaltonWalton – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-66 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-611 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-5 5-7 7-61) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-1 7-61) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-73 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-6(11) 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-7) – H2H and prediction
