Paula Badosa and Alexandra Eala will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 7:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa -> 1.43
Alexandra Eala -> 2.83
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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa vs. Alexandra Eala
There is no head to head record between Paula Badosa and Alexandra Eala since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Paula Badosa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Badosa got to the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Victoria Mboko 7-5 1-6 7-6(3) and Clara Tauson 6-3 7-6(3).
In the 3rd round, Paula had a good straight sets win against Tauson (6-3 7-63). During the match, Badosa scored 77 points vs Tauson’s 66. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Badosa bagged 7 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Paula Badosa conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 65% of her first serves in, winning 83% (43/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Paula was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Tauson once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paula has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points she played.
Badosa has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (309-174). 12-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Badosa has an overall 127-73 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Badosa’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .
The Spaniard has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Alexandra Eala
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-7 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-31 | 27-18 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-23 | 37-16 | 0-3 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-20 | 30-13 | 0-1 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-13 | 10-7 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140, Eala got to the 4th round after defeating Katie Volynets 6-3 7-6(3), Jelena Ostapenko 7-6(2) 7-5 and Madison Keys 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Alexandra had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-4 6-2). During the match Eala scored 73 points vs Keys’s 55. Alexandra was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Eala scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexandra Eala lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Eala put 66% of her first serves in, winning 59% (24/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. Alexandra broke Keys 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Filipino hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Filipino’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal the Canberra.
Alexandra has a compiled 13-7 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 65 |
| Pts | 182-168 | 241-208 |
| Total Points | 350 | 449 |
| Winners | 85 | 95 |
| %Winners | 47% | 39% |
Badosa played 2 matches while Eala competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Paula Badosa lost 1 set while Alexandra Eala hasn’t dropped a set so far. Badosa has played 1 set(s) less than Eala (5 vs 6). Therefore, Badosa played 11 games less than Eala. Badosa scored 85 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Eala scored 95 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 110/175 | 164/232 |
| %1st in | 63% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 85/110 | 95/164 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 29/65 | 34/68 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 50% |
Badosa bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Eala managed to score 4 aces (1.3 per match). Badosa won 77% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Eala won 58% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 17 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 17/35 |
| % Converted | 50% | 49% |
| Conceded | 17 | 26 |
| Saved | 12 | 15 |
| % Saved | 71% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 11 |
The Spaniard broke her opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Filipino broke her opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Eala conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | ||||
| R2 Mboko |
R3 Tauson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 1-6 7-63 | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 22 | 54 | |
| pts | 105-102 | 77-66 | 182-168 | |
| Total points | 207 | 143 | 350 | |
| Winners | 42 | 43 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 56% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 58/95 | 52/80 | 110/175 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 42/58 | 43/52 | 85/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 83% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 13/28 | 29/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 46% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 1/1 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 100% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 7/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Eala | |||||
| R1 Volynets |
R2 Ostapenko |
R3 Keys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 7-62 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 25 | 18 | 65 | |
| pts | 75-69 | 93-84 | 73-55 | 241-208 | |
| Total points | 144 | 177 | 128 | 449 | |
| Winners | 26 | 45 | 24 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 48% | 33% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 49/69 | 74/101 | 41/62 | 164/232 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 73% | 66% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 26/49 | 45/74 | 24/41 | 95/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 53% | 61% | 59% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 13/27 | 11/21 | 34/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 52% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/12 | 6/13 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 42% | 46% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 15 | 5 | 26 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 11/15 | 2/5 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 73% | 40% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWLWWLWL
WWWLWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Clara TausonTauson (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Alexandra EalaEala – Madison KeysKeys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-73 6-2 7-62) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (7-65 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elise MertensMertens (7-62 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Mccartney KesslerKessler (6-1 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (7-66 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Mccartney KesslerKessler (6-1 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (7-6(5) 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-7(3) 6-2 7-6(2)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Magda LinetteLinette (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-2) – H2H and prediction
