Andres Andrade and Alfredo Perez will square off in the qualifications of the Morelia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND PABLO ARROYO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andres Andrade who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andres Andrade is the pick to win this match.
Andres Andrade -> 1.63
Alfredo Perez -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Andres Andrade vs. Alfredo Perez
There is no head to head record between Andres Andrade and Alfredo Perez since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Andres Andrade
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-26 | 11-12 | 34-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-21 | 16-10 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-12 | 15-5 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 254, Andres got to the qualifications after beating Rodrigo Alujas 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Andres had a good straight sets win against Alujas (6-3 6-3). During the match, Andrade scored 63 points vs Alujas’s 50. Andrade was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Andrade made 4 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Andres Andrade was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (23/30) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Andrade broke Alujas 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Andrade has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (120-77). 4-3 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Andrade has a compiled52-33 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Andres has an overall 4-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelia Challenger
The Ecuadorian has never competed in this tournament before.
Alfredo Perez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-5 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-9 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-25 | 18-16 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-22 | 22-11 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-12 | 20-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 521, Perez reached the qualifications after beating Brandon Perez 6-0 6-3.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Perez (6-0 6-3). During the match Perez scored 58 points vs Perez’s 29. Alfredo was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Perez made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alfredo Perez was quite efficient on serve to win 89% (17/19) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alfredo broke Perez 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Huamantla.
The American has an aggregate 19-3 win-loss record in 2025, 16-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Andrade | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 15 |
| Pts | 63-50 | 58-29 |
| Total Points | 113 | 87 |
| Winners | 23 | 17 |
| %Winners | 37% | 29% |
Both Andrade and Perez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Andrade and Perez have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Andrade played 3 games more than Perez. Andres scored 23 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Alfredo scored 17 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Andrade | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 30/64 | 19/34 |
| %1st in | 47% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 17/19 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 11/15 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 73% |
Andrade bagged 4 aces . Perez blasted 2 aces . Andrade won 77% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Perez won 89% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Andrade | Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 67% | 42% |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 75% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Andrade broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Andrade dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Alfredo broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Andrade | |||
| Q1 Alujas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-50 | 63-50 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 30/64 | 30/64 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 23/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 18/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Perez | |||
| Q1 Perez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 58-29 | 58-29 | |
| Total points | 87 | 87 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 19/34 | 19/34 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 17/19 | 17/19 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 11/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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