H2H, prediction of Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina in Miami with odds, preview, pick | 24th March 2025

PREVIEW. Miami. Swiatek and Svitolina will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 24th of March

Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Elina Svitolina

Iga Swiatek and Elina Svitolina will play each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.22
Elina Svitolina -> 4.3

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Elina Svitolina

This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Elina Svitolina play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-1 6-4 in the 3rd round in Dubai back in 2024.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina – Dubai 21-February-2024

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek
Iga Swiatek

20 - 5win/loss

Hard
20-5
I Hard
0-0
Rank
2
High
1
WWLWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-5 20-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Swiatek got to the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Caroline Garcia 6-2 7-5 and Elise Mertens 7-6(2) 6-1.

In the 3rd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Mertens (7-62 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 78 points vs Mertens’s 63. Iga was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek made 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 65% of her first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Mertens 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Swiatek hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a marvellous record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (369-81). 20-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an overall 182-47 record in the last years on hard.

Iga’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Australia.

Iga has a compiled 20-5 win-loss record in 2025, 20-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Swiatek
Miami
Swiatek's Record

Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina
Elina Svitolina

11 - 5win/loss

Hard
11-4
I Hard
0-1
Rank
22
High
3
WWLWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-5 11-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 30-18 16-9 10-7 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 21-12 4-3 12-7 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 5-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 41-20 31-13 8-4 0-0 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 22, the Ukrainian got to the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Belinda Bencic 6-1 6-2 and Karolina Muchova 6-2 3-6 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Elina defeated Muchova (6-2 3-6 6-2). During the match Svitolina scored 87 points vs Muchova’s 80. Svitolina was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Svitolina blasted 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elina Svitolina lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the 2nd serve. Svitolina broke Muchova 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Svitolina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Ukrainian has an aggregate 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.

Svitolina
Miami
Svitolina's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
E.Svitolina
3h:22
3h:22
Time on court​
3h:15
3h:15
1h:48
1h:48
Last match​
!
2h:03
2h:03
2
2
Match played
2
2
40
40
Games Played​
40
40
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
153
153
Total points​
148
148
76.5
76.5
Avg point​
74
74
57
57
Winners
61
61
28.5
28.5
Avg Winners​
30.5
30.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
10
10
7
7
Avg Aces
5
5
4
4
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
57/81
57/81
1st won total​
61/89
61/89
70%
70%
1st won %
69%
69%
26/47
26/47
2nd won total​
26/49
26/49
55%
55%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
10/14
10/14
BP won
10/17
10/17
5/7
5/7
Avg BP won
5/8.5
5/8.5
!
71%
71%
Won
!
59%
59%
11
11
Conceded
8
8
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
4
4
4
4
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
7
7
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Svitolina
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 40 40
Pts 153-113 148-124
Total Points 266 272
Winners 57 61
%Winners 37% 41%

Both Swiatek and Svitolina played 2 matches. At the moment, Elina Svitolina surrendered 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Svitolina (4 vs 5). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (40). The Pole scored 57 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian scored 61 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Svitolina
Aces 14 10
Avg per match 7 5
1st in 81/128 89/138
%1st in 63% 64%
1st pts 57/81 61/89
%1st pts 70% 69%
2nd pts 26/47 26/49
%2nd pts 55% 53%

Swiatek blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Svitolina struck 10 aces (5 per match). Swiatek won 70% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Svitolina
Won 10 10
Converted 10/14 10/17
% Converted 71% 59%
Conceded 11 8
Saved 7 6
% Saved 64% 75%
Times Broken 4 2

The Pole broke her opponents 10 times with a 71% conversion rate. Swiatek lost her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Svitolina broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Svitolina conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Garcia
R3
Mertens
Total
Score 6-2 7-5 7-62 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 20 40
pts 75-50 78-63 153-113
Total points 125 141 266
Winners 24 33 57
%Winners 32% 42% 37%
SERVE
Aces 8 6 14
Double Faults 1 3 4
1st in 35/57 46/71 81/128
% 1st in 61% 65% 63%
1st pts 24/35 33/46 57/81
% 1st pts 69% 72% 70%
2nd pts 15/22 11/25 26/47
% 2nd pts 68% 44% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/8 5/6 10/14
Converted % 63% 83% 71%
Conceded 5 6 11
Saved 3/5 4/6 7
Saved % 60% 67% 64%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Svitolina
R2
Bencic
R3
Muchova
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-2 3-6 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 15 25 40
pts 61-44 87-80 148-124
Total points 105 167 272
Winners 26 35 61
%Winners 43% 40% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 6 10
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 37/57 52/81 89/138
% 1st in 65% 64% 64%
1st pts 26/37 35/52 61/89
% 1st pts 70% 67% 69%
2nd pts 10/20 16/29 26/49
% 2nd pts 50% 55% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/5 5/12 10/17
Converted % 100% 42% 59%
Conceded 3 5 8
Saved 3/3 3/5 6
Saved % 100% 60% 80%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Swiatek
WWLWWWWLWW
Svitolina
WWLWWWLWLW
2025 2024 2023
20 - 5
11 - 5
20-5
Hard
11-4

Tennis Scores in Miami

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw