Valerio Aboian and Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Concepcion Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on CANCHA 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Valerio Aboian who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Valerio Aboian is the pick to win this match.
Valerio Aboian -> 1.39
Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Valerio Aboian vs. Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos
This will be the 3rd time that Valerio Aboian and Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Aboian (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Aboian won 6-2 6-3 in the qualifications in the Piracicaba Challenger back in January 2025.
Valerio Aboian
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-35 | 0-2 | 37-33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-33 | 0-0 | 54-33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-22 | 0-0 | 48-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 483, Valerio got to the qualifications after defeating Milledge Cossu 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Aboian had a good straight sets win against Cossu (6-2 6-1). During the match, Aboian scored 56 points vs Cossu’s 29. Aboian was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Aboian made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Valerio Aboian was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Valerio broke Cossu 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Aboian has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (194-122). 10-9 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Aboian has a compiled194-120 record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Argentine’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Asuncion.
Valerio has an overall 10-9 win-loss record in 2025, 10-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Concepcion Challenger
Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-30 | 12-12 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 25-26 | 4-5 | 21-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-16 | 0-1 | 22-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-13 | 4-6 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 711 (career-high), will start his run in the Concepcion Challenger after he played his last match in the Concepcion Challenger where he defeated 7-5 7-6(1) to Watanabe in the qualifications on the 23rd of March.
The Brazilian has an aggregate 5-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
In terms of his career, The Brazilian has an overall 97-106 record. He has a negative 77-80 record on clay.
Previously in the Concepcion Challenger
Saraiva Dos Santos has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Aboian | Saraiva Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 25 |
| Pts | 56-29 | 80-75 |
| Total Points | 85 | 155 |
| Winners | 20 | 33 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Aboian and Saraiva Dos Santos played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Aboian and Saraiva Dos Santos have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Aboian played 10 games less than Saraiva Dos Santos. The Argentine scored 20 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Paulo managed to score 33 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Aboian | Saraiva Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 8 |
| 1st in | 24/40 | 49/81 |
| %1st in | 60% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 33/49 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 13/16 | 15/32 |
| %2nd pts | 81% | 47% |
Aboian made 2 aces . Saraiva Dos Santos scored 8 aces . Aboian won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 81% of the points. On the other side, Saraiva Dos Santos won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Aboian | Saraiva Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 80% | 67% |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 |
| Saved | 0 | 1 |
| % Saved | 0% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Valerio extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Brazilian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Paulo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.
| Aboian | |||
| Q1 Cossu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 56-29 | 56-29 | |
| Total points | 85 | 85 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 24/40 | 24/40 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 20/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/16 | 13/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 81% | 81% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Saraiva Dos Santos | |||
| Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | |||
| Tot Set | 0 | ||
| Tot Games | 0 | ||
| pts | 0-0 | ||
| Total points | 0 | ||
| Winners | 0 | ||
| %Winners | 0% | ||
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | ||
| Double Faults | 0 | ||
| 1st in | 0/0 | ||
| % 1st in | 0% | ||
| 1st pts | 0/0 | ||
| % 1st pts | 0% | ||
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 0% | ||
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 0 | ||
| Converted | 0/0 | ||
| Converted % | 0% | ||
| Conceded | 0 | ||
| Saved | 0 | ||
| Saved % | 0% | ||
| Times Broken | 0 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWWWW
LWLWLWLWWL 
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