Elias Ymer and Oleksandr Ovcharenko will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Naples Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CAMPO 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elias Ymer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elias Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Elias Ymer -> 1.52
Oleksandr Ovcharenko -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Oleksandr Ovcharenko
There is no head to head record between Elias Ymer and Oleksandr Ovcharenko since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-7 | 6-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-32 | 7-15 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 261, the Swede reached the qualifications after beating Gianluca Cadenasso 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications, Ymer had a good straight sets win against Cadenasso (6-3 7-5). During the match, Ymer scored 67 points vs Cadenasso’s 48. Ymer was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ymer scored just 1 ace during the match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Elias Ymer was very effective on serve to win 78% (29/37) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Swede broke Cadenasso 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Ymer has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (293-262). 1-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ymer has a compiled 160-120 match record in the last years on clay.
Ymer’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Chennai Challenger.
Ymer has a compiled 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Naples Challenger
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
7 - 7win/loss
327
296
LLWLWLLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 67-23 | 5-4 | 62-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-13 | 0-5 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-26 | 13-6 | 38-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-25 | 1-3 | 40-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 308, Ovcharenko got to the qualifications after defeating Mariano Tammaro 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Tammaro (6-1 6-4). During the match Ovcharenko scored 61 points vs Tammaro’s 44. Ovcharenko was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Ovcharenko bagged 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Oleksandr Ovcharenko lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ovcharenko put 60% of his first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. Oleksandr broke Tammaro 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Ovcharenko has a composed 7-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Naples Challenger
Ovcharenko has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ymer | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 17 |
| Pts | 67-48 | 61-44 |
| Total Points | 115 | 105 |
| Winners | 29 | 26 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Both Ymer and Ovcharenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ymer and Ovcharenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Ymer played 4 games more than Ovcharenko. The Swede scored 29 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian struck 26 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ymer | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 38/63 |
| %1st in | 66% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 26/38 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 14/25 |
| %2nd pts | 74% | 56% |
Ymer blasted 1 ace . Ovcharenko also recorded 2 aces . Ymer won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 74% of the points. On the other side, Ovcharenko won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ymer | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 60% | 80% |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Swede broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Ymer dropped his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Oleksandr broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Oleksandr conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ymer | |||
| Q1 Cadenasso |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 67-48 | 67-48 | |
| Total points | 115 | 115 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 37/56 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 29/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 14/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 74% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ovcharenko | |||
| Q1 Tammaro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-44 | 61-44 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 38/63 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 26/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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