Aryna Sabalenka and Danielle Rose Collins will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.23
Danielle Rose Collins -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Danielle Rose Collins
This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Danielle Rose Collins fight against each other. The head to head is 6-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sabalenka won 7-5 6-2 in the semifinal in Rome back in 2024.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Danielle Rose Collins – Rome 16-May-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-4 | 19-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian got to the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-0 and Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-1 ret..
In the 3rd round against Gabriela Ruse, Sabalenka had a free pass after Gabriela Ruse retired on a 6-1 . scoreline.
Sabalenka has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (393-172). 19-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a composed 246-96 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.
Aryna has an aggregate 19-4 win-loss record in 2025, 19-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Danielle Rose Collins
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-17 | 20-10 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Collins reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Sorana Cirstea 6-4 7-6(3) and Rebeka Masarova 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Danielle defeated Masarova (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Collins scored 101 points vs Masarova’s 98. Collins was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Collins managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Collins put 53% of her first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the 2nd serve. Danielle broke Masarova 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Danielle has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
The American has an aggregate 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 51 |
| Pts | 92-50 | 177-164 |
| Total Points | 142 | 341 |
| Winners | 28 | 59 |
| %Winners | 30% | 33% |
Both Sabalenka and Collins played 2 matches. At the moment, Danielle Rose Collins conceded 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Collins (4 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 29 games less than Collins. Sabalenka scored 28 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 59 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 41/69 | 79/151 |
| %1st in | 59% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 59/79 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 19/28 | 43/72 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 60% |
Sabalenka made 4 aces (2 per match). Collins made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sabalenka won 68% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 6 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 6/17 |
| % Converted | 57% | 35% |
| Conceded | 7 | 16 |
| Saved | 5 | 12 |
| % Saved | 71% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. Collins conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Tomova |
R3 Gabriela Ruse |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 7 | 22 | |
| pts | 60-33 | 32-17 | 92-50 | |
| Total points | 93 | 49 | 142 | |
| Winners | 16 | 12 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 38% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 24/41 | 17/28 | 41/69 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 16/24 | 12/17 | 28/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 71% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 7/11 | 19/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 64% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 2/3 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 67% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Collins | ||||
| R2 Cirstea |
R3 Masarova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 28 | 51 | |
| pts | 76-66 | 101-98 | 177-164 | |
| Total points | 142 | 199 | 341 | |
| Winners | 26 | 33 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 31/61 | 48/90 | 79/151 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 53% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 33/48 | 59/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 69% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/30 | 22/42 | 43/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 52% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 4/8 | 6/17 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 50% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 12 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 9/12 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWWLW
WWLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elise MertensMertens (7-62 6-1) – See score progression
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Clara TausonTauson (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (7-66 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexandra EalaEala – Madison KeysKeys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Clara TausonTauson (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elise MertensMertens (7-6(2) 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Magda LinetteLinette (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-2) – H2H and prediction
