Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov will face off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.49
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Denis Shapovalov
This will be the 11th time that Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov square off. The head to head is 6-4 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), but Fritz has a winning record of 4-3 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Shapovalov won 2-6 6-3 7-6(2) in the 2nd round in Dallas back in February 2025.
Highlights Denis Shapovalov vs Taylor Fritz – Dallas 06-February-2025
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-5 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Fritz reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Lorenzo Sonego 7-6(2) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Sonego (7-62 6-3). During the match, Fritz scored 82 points vs Sonego’s 67. The American was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fritz managed to score 9 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Taylor Fritz was very effective on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Taylor broke Sonego once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).
Fritz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (373-224). 10-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fritz has a compiled 219-113 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4).
Fritz has a compiled 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-6 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, Shapovalov reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-3 6-7(1) 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, The Canadian defeated Agustin Tirante (6-3 6-71 7-63). During the match Shapovalov scored 106 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 103. Shapovalov was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Shapovalov bagged 6 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (41/55) of his 1st serve and 53% (28/53) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Denis broke Agustin Tirante 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Dallas where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.
Denis has a composed 12-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 35 |
| Pts | 82-67 | 106-103 |
| Total Points | 149 | 209 |
| Winners | 32 | 41 |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% |
Both Fritz and Shapovalov played 1 match. At the moment, Denis Shapovalov lost 1 set while Taylor Fritz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set(s) less than Shapovalov (2 vs 3). Therefore, Fritz played 13 games less than Shapovalov. The American scored 32 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Denis fired 41 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 6 |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 55/108 |
| %1st in | 63% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 41/55 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 28/53 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 53% |
Fritz blasted 9 aces . Shapovalov struck 6 aces . Fritz won 82% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 4 |
| Converted | 1/7 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 14% | 80% |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Fritz broke his opponent once with a 14% conversion rate. The American extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Canadian broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Denis conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||
| R2 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 82-67 | 82-67 | |
| Total points | 149 | 149 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 39/62 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 32/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 16/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/7 | 1/7 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 14% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Shapovalov | |||
| R2 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-71 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 35 | |
| pts | 106-103 | 106-103 | |
| Total points | 209 | 209 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 55/108 | 55/108 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 41/55 | 41/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/53 | 28/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWLWLW
LWLWLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
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