Tomas Machac and Reilly Opelka will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on BUTCH BUCHHOLZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.48
Reilly Opelka -> 2.65
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Reilly Opelka
This will be the 2nd time that Tomas Machac and Reilly Opelka play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Machac (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Machac won 3-6 7-6(1) 6-7(5) 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2025.
Highlights Tomas Machac vs Reilly Opelka – Australian Open 15-January-2025
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-5 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 21, Machac got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 1-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Czech defeated Arnaldi (6-2 1-6 6-3). During the match, Machac scored 79 points vs Arnaldi’s 72. Tomas was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Machac bagged 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Tomas Machac lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Machac put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Arnaldi 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Machac has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (270-136). 10-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Machac has a compiled82-37 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.
The Czech has a composed 13-5 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Reilly Opelka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-6 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 10-7 | 6-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 14-11 | 6-4 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 114, Opelka got to the 3rd round after defeating Christopher Eubanks 6-3 7-6(4) and Holger Rune 4-6 6-3 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round against Rune, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-65). During the match Opelka scored 96 points vs Rune’s 90. Opelka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Opelka buried his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Reilly Opelka was quite effective on serve to win 76% (48/63) of his 1st serve and 67% (20/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Rune once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Opelka’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Brisbane.
Opelka has a compiled 11-6 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Machac | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 54 |
| Pts | 79-72 | 167-150 |
| Total Points | 151 | 317 |
| Winners | 36 | 87 |
| %Winners | 46% | 52% |
Machac played 1 match while Opelka competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tomas Machac conceded 1 set, while Reilly Opelka dropped 1 set. Machac has played 2 set(s) less than Opelka (3 vs 5). Therefore, Machac played 30 games less than Opelka. Tomas scored 36 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Reilly bagged 87 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Machac | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 36 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 18 |
| 1st in | 53/77 | 105/159 |
| %1st in | 69% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 36/53 | 87/105 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 33/54 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 61% |
Machac bagged 5 aces . Opelka blasted 36 aces (18 per match). Machac won 68% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Opelka won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Machac | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/7 |
| % Converted | 60% | 29% |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Czech broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Czech dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Reilly broke his opponents twice with a 29% conversion rate. Opelka conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Machac | |||
| R2 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 79-72 | 79-72 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 53/77 | 53/77 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 36/53 | 36/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Opelka | ||||
| R1 Eubanks |
R2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 4-6 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 | 54 | |
| pts | 71-60 | 96-90 | 167-150 | |
| Total points | 131 | 186 | 317 | |
| Winners | 39 | 48 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 50% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 21 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 42/66 | 63/93 | 105/159 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 39/42 | 48/63 | 87/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 76% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 20/30 | 33/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 67% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/3 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 33% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWWLWW
WWLWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-73 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Tomas MachacMachac (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-6) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-3) – H2H and prediction
