Juan Pablo Ficovich and Felipe Meligeni Alves will play each other in the final of the Merida Challenger for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:00 pm on ESTADIO LORENZO MOLINA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Ficovich who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Ficovich is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Ficovich -> 1.84
Felipe Meligeni Alves -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Ficovich vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves
This will be the 6th time that Juan Pablo Ficovich and Felipe Meligeni Alves play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Pablo Ficovich (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.
The last time that they played, Meligeni Alves won 7-6(7) 4-6 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Curitiba Challenger back in 2024.
Juan Pablo Ficovich
15 - 10win/loss
162
125
LWWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-10 | 1-1 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-33 | 5-7 | 36-22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-33 | 15-13 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-32 | 6-11 | 23-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-16 | 2-3 | 14-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 162, Pablo Ficovich got to the final after defeating Karl Poling 6-4 7-5, Tyler Zink 6-3 6-4, Garrett Johns 6-3 6-4 and Hugo Dellien 6-3 5-7 7-5.
In the semifinal, Juan defeated Dellien (6-3 5-7 7-5). During the match, Pablo Ficovich scored 123 points vs Dellien’s 113. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pablo Ficovich recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Juan Pablo Ficovich lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pablo Ficovich put 70% of his first serves in, winning 70% (57/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the 2nd serve. Pablo Ficovich broke Dellien 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Pablo Ficovich has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (347-250). 14-8 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Pablo Ficovich has a composed 302-188 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Pablo Ficovich’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Cordoba Challenger.
The Argentine has an aggregate 15-9 win-loss record in 2025, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
Felipe Meligeni Alves
9 - 6win/loss
176
128
WWWWWLWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-28 | 4-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 8-6 | 26-22 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 0-3 | 33-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-28 | 1-2 | 33-25 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 176, Meligeni Alves got to the final after defeating Rodrigo Alujas 6-3 6-4, Patrick Maloney 7-6(5) 6-3, Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-1 6-0 and Cristian Garin 6-7(6) 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Garin, The Brazilian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 6-3 6-4). During the match Meligeni Alves scored 102 points vs Garin’s 90. Felipe was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Meligeni Alves struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Felipe Meligeni Alves lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Meligeni Alves put 68% of his first serves in, winning 71% (45/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Meligeni Alves broke Garin 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Meligeni Alves’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Merida Challenger.
The Brazilian has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
The Brazilian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Ficovich | Meligeni Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 86 |
| Pts | 332-282 | 311-236 |
| Total Points | 614 | 547 |
| Winners | 146 | 130 |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% |
Both Pablo Ficovich and Meligeni Alves played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Juan Pablo Ficovich dropped 1 set, while Felipe Meligeni Alves dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Pablo Ficovich and Meligeni Alves have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Pablo Ficovich played 7 games more than Meligeni Alves. Juan scored 146 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Meligeni Alves blasted 130 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Ficovich | Meligeni Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 193/294 | 180/264 |
| %1st in | 66% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 146/193 | 130/180 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 55/101 | 45/84 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 54% |
Pablo Ficovich struck 20 aces (5 per match). Meligeni Alves managed to score 17 aces (4.3 per match). Pablo Ficovich won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Meligeni Alves won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Ficovich | Meligeni Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 19 |
| Converted | 12/39 | 19/29 |
| % Converted | 31% | 66% |
| Conceded | 20 | 15 |
| Saved | 15 | 7 |
| % Saved | 75% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 |
Juan broke his opponents 12 times with a 31% conversion rate. Juan surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 19 times with a 66% conversion rate. Meligeni Alves conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Ficovich | ||||||
| R1 Poling |
R2 Zink |
1/4 Johns |
1/2 Dellien |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 19 | 33 | 93 | |
| pts | 68-58 | 73-59 | 68-52 | 123-113 | 332-282 | |
| Total points | 126 | 132 | 120 | 236 | 614 | |
| Winners | 31 | 34 | 24 | 57 | 146 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 47% | 35% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 40/66 | 41/64 | 31/49 | 81/115 | 193/294 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 64% | 63% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 34/41 | 24/31 | 57/81 | 146/193 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 83% | 77% | 70% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 12/23 | 11/18 | 18/34 | 55/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 52% | 61% | 53% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/6 | 4/12 | 3/15 | 12/39 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 33% | 20% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 0/2 | 9/11 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 0% | 82% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Meligeni Alves | ||||||
| R1 Alujas |
R2 Maloney |
1/4 Carlos Prado Angelo |
1/2 Garin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-1 6-0 | 6-76 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 13 | 32 | 86 | |
| pts | 76-62 | 77-60 | 56-24 | 102-90 | 311-236 | |
| Total points | 138 | 137 | 80 | 192 | 547 | |
| Winners | 29 | 30 | 26 | 45 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 46% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 44/64 | 38/58 | 35/49 | 63/93 | 180/264 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 66% | 71% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/44 | 30/38 | 26/35 | 45/63 | 130/180 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 79% | 74% | 71% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 10/20 | 7/14 | 15/30 | 45/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/8 | 5/5 | 6/9 | 19/29 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 50% | 100% | 67% | 66% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 1/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 25% | 100% | 20% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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