[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Elise Mertens’s draw vs Swiatek, Muchova, Keys, Pegula, Sabalenka to win the Miami

Miami draw preview with H2H - Elise Mertens may need to oust Iga Swiatek, Karolina Muchova, Madison Keys, Jessica Pegula, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the competition in the Miami Open.

Elise Mertens Stats info

Elise Mertens is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Miami. Mertens has defeated Peyton Stearns 6-4 6-1 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Iga Swiatek.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Elise Mertens’s projected draw andherprojected opponents in Miami Open. The Belgian has a losing record (8-15) with the presumable opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Peyton Stearns (43) – 6-4 6-1
R3 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 0-1
R4 – Karolina Muchova (14) – H2H 1-1
or Elina Svitolina (22) – H2H 3-4
1/4 – Madison Keys (5) – H2H 2-4
or Paula Badosa (11) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 3-1
or Mirra Andreeva (6) – H2H 0-0
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-8
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 1-4
Mertens
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Iga Swiatek

21 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-5 21-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 19-5 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the last 10 years, the Pole has a 181-47 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Iga’s best achievement of the season was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in Miami Open the Pole lost to Ekaterina Alexandrova in the 4th round 6-4 6-2.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 2nd time that Elise Mertens and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

12 - 7win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
8
LWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-7 10-6 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 7-8 6-6 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-14 25-9 6-2 3-1 4-2 0-0
2018 29-11 5-2 7-4 10-1 3-3 4-1

Karolina Muchova has a 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard. During the last 10 years, Karolina has a 122-50 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Karolina won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Czech’s most significant achievement of the current season was getting to the semifinal Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Last year in Miami Open Muchova didn’t compete in this tournament.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Karolina Muchova

This match would represent the 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Karolina Muchova square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Muchova on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Elise Mertens may come up against Elina Svitolina. Their head to head record is 4-3 for Elina Svitolina.

1/4 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Madison Keys

19 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
5
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-3 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 19-2 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 17 years, the American has a 248-139 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Keys won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this season was winning the tournament in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Last year in Miami Open Madison surrendered to Elena Rybakina in the 4th round 6-3 7-5.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Madison Keys

This match would represent the 7th time that Elise Mertens and Madison Keys play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Elise Mertens may fight against Paula Badosa. Their H2H is 1-0 for Paula Badosa.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Elise Mertens

18 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
WWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-5 18-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 16-5 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the previous 17 years, Pegula has a 267-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this current year was conquering the title in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Miami Open the American lost to Ekaterina Alexandrova in the quarter 3-6 6-4 6-4.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula

This contest would be 5th time that Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Elise Mertens could play Mirra Andreeva. Their H2H record is 0-0.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

20 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-4 20-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 19-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 10 years, the Belarussian has a 246-96 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this year was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in Miami Open Aryna capitulated to Anhelina Kalinina in the 3rd round 6-4 1-6 6-1.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 11th time that Elise Mertens and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 8-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Elise Mertens could fight against Cori Gauff. Their head to head is 4-1 for Cori Gauff.