[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Iga Swiatek’s draw vs Mertens, Muchova, Keys, Pegula, Sabalenka to win the Miami

Miami draw preview with H2H - Iga Swiatek may need to topple Elise Mertens, Karolina Muchova, Madison Keys, Jessica Pegula, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the title in the Miami Open.

Iga Swiatek Stats info

Iga Swiatek is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Miami. Iga has defeated Caroline Garcia 6-2 7-5 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Elise Mertens.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Iga Swiatek’s projected draw together withherlikely opponents in Miami Open. Iga has a winning record (23-11) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Caroline Garcia (74) – 6-2 7-5
R3 – Elise Mertens (28) – H2H 1-0
R4 – Karolina Muchova (14) – H2H 4-1
or Elina Svitolina (22) – H2H 2-1
1/4 – Madison Keys (5) – H2H 4-2
or Paula Badosa (11) – H2H 2-1
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 6-4
or Mirra Andreeva (6) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 8-4
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 11-3
Swiatek
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Elise Mertens’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Iga Swiatek

15 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
28
High
12
LWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-6 10-6 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0
2020 34-13 17-7 9-4 8-2 0-0 0-0
2019 35-27 23-14 4-6 1-3 7-4 0-0
2018 46-21 25-13 16-2 1-2 4-4 0-0

Elise Mertens has a 15-5 record in 2025, 10-5 on hard. In the course of the previous 14 years, Elise has a 273-141 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Mertens won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the year was winning the title in Singapore where she beat Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.

Last year in Miami Open the Belgian capitulated to Taylor Townsend in the 2nd round 6-2 6-2.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Elise Mertens

This contest would be 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Elise Mertens clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Iga Swiatek

12 - 7win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
8
LWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-7 10-6 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 7-8 6-6 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-14 25-9 6-2 3-1 4-2 0-0
2018 29-11 5-2 7-4 10-1 3-3 4-1

Karolina Muchova has a 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard. In the course of the previous 10 years, Karolina has a 122-50 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Karolina won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Karolina’s most significant result of this current season was reaching the semifinal Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Last year in Miami Open Karolina didn’t take part in the competition.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Karolina Muchova

This match would represent the 6th time that Iga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Iga Swiatek may compete against Elina Svitolina. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Iga Swiatek.

1/4 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Iga Swiatek

19 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
5
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-3 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 19-2 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the previous 17 years, Madison has a 248-139 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Keys won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this year was winning the tournament in Adelaide where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Last year in Miami Open Keys lost to Elena Rybakina in the 4th round 6-3 7-5.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Madison Keys

This contest would be 7th time that Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys face off. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but Keys has a winning record of 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Iga Swiatek may come up against Paula Badosa. Their head to head is 2-1 for Iga Swiatek.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-4 for Iga Swiatek

18 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
WWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-5 18-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 16-5 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the previous 17 years, Pegula has a 267-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of the current year was winning the competition in Austin where she beat Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Miami Open Jessica surrendered to Ekaterina Alexandrova in the quarter 3-6 6-4 6-4.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula

This would be the 11th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 6-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-4 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Iga Swiatek could play Mirra Andreeva. Their H2H record is 2-1 for Mirra Andreeva.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

20 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-4 20-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 19-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, Aryna has a 246-96 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the current season was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in Miami Open the Belarussian surrendered to Anhelina Kalinina in the 3rd round 6-4 1-6 6-1.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 13th time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Iga Swiatek could take on Cori Gauff. Their H2H is 11-3 for Iga Swiatek.