H2H, prediction of Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Sebastian Korda in Miami with odds, preview, pick | 23rd March 2025

PREVIEW. Miami. Tsitsipas and Korda will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 23rd of March

Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Sebastian Korda

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Sebastian Korda will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.39
Sebastian Korda -> 2.99

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Sebastian Korda

This will be the 2nd time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Sebastian Korda face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Tsitsipas won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2021.

Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Sebastian Korda – Cincinnati 18-August-2021

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas

11 - 6win/loss

Hard
9-5
I Hard
2-1
Rank
10
High
3
LWLWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-6 9-5 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 45-22 13-11 22-6 8-3 2-2 0-0
2023 51-24 19-9 17-5 11-6 4-4 0-0
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 10, Tsitsipas reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Chun Hsin Tseng 4-6 7-5 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Hsin Tseng, The Greek recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-3). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 89 points vs Hsin Tseng’s 79. Tsitsipas was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tsitsipas blasted 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Stefanos Tsitsipas was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (44/59) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Greek broke Hsin Tseng 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Tsitsipas has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (468-212). 9-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tsitsipas has a composed 167-86 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Dubai where he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 6-3 6-3.

The Greek has a composed 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Tsitsipas
Miami
Tsitsipas's Record

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda
Sebastian Korda

5 - 4win/loss

Hard
5-3
I Hard
0-1
Rank
25
High
15
WWWLLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 6-4 6-3 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 25, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Eliot Spizzirri 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Spizzirri (6-4 6-2). During the match Korda scored 62 points vs Spizzirri’s 52. Korda was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Korda made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 63% of his first serves in, winning 75% (27/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Spizzirri 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Sebastian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide.

The American has an overall 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.

Korda
Miami
Korda's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Tsitsipas
S.Korda
!
2h:14
2h:14
Time on court​
1h:11
1h:11
!
2h:14
2h:14
Last match​
1h:11
1h:11
1
1
Match played
1
1
31
31
Games Played​
18
18
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
89
89
Total points​
62
62
89
89
Avg point​
62
62
44
44
Winners
27
27
44
44
Avg Winners​
27
27
49%
49%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
5
5
9
9
Avg Aces
5
5
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2
2
44/59
44/59
1st won total​
27/36
27/36
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
17/27
17/27
2nd won total​
10/21
10/21
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
4/6
4/6
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
38%
38%
Won
!
67%
67%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
4
4
2
2
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tsitsipas Korda
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 31 18
Pts 89-79 62-52
Total Points 168 114
Winners 44 27
%Winners 49% 44%

Both Tsitsipas and Korda played 1 match. At the moment, Stefanos Tsitsipas surrendered 1 set while Sebastian Korda hasn’t conceded a set so far. Tsitsipas has played 1 set more than Korda (3 vs 2). Therefore, Tsitsipas played 13 games more than Korda. Stefanos scored 44 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian struck 27 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tsitsipas Korda
Aces 9 5
Avg per match 9 5
1st in 59/86 36/57
%1st in 69% 63%
1st pts 44/59 27/36
%1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 17/27 10/21
%2nd pts 63% 48%

Tsitsipas recorded 9 aces . Korda scored 5 aces . Tsitsipas won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tsitsipas Korda
Won 3 4
Converted 3/8 4/6
% Converted 38% 67%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 4 3
% Saved 67% 75%
Times Broken 2 1

Stefanos broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Tsitsipas dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Tsitsipas
R2
Hsin
Total
Score 4-6 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 89-79 89-79
Total points 168 168
Winners 44 44
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 59/86 59/86
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 44/59 44/59
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 17/27 17/27
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Korda
R2
Spizzirri
Total
Score 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 62-52 62-52
Total points 114 114
Winners 27 27
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 36/57 36/57
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 27/36 27/36
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 10/21 10/21
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Tsitsipas
LWLWWWWWWW
Korda
WWWLLLWLWW
2025 2024 2023
11 - 6
6 - 4
9-5
Hard
6-3
2-1
I Hard
0-1

Tennis Scores in Miami

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw