Iga Swiatek and Elise Mertens will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.126
Elise Mertens -> 6.05
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Elise Mertens fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Swiatek won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in 2024.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens – Stuttgart 18-April-2024
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-5 | 20-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Iga got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Caroline Garcia 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Garcia (6-2 7-5). During the match, Swiatek scored 75 points vs Garcia’s 50. The Pole was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 61% of her first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Garcia 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (368-81). 19-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a compiled 181-47 record in the last years on hard.
Swiatek’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Australia.
Iga has a compiled 19-5 win-loss record in 2025, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-6 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, the Belgian got to the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Peyton Stearns 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Stearns (6-4 6-1). During the match Mertens scored 59 points vs Stearns’s 36. Mertens was pretty aggressive to blast 14 winners.
About the serving games, Mertens made 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (14/18) of her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Belgian broke Stearns 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Singapore where she beat Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.
Elise has a compiled 15-5 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 |
| Pts | 75-50 | 59-36 |
| Total Points | 125 | 95 |
| Winners | 24 | 14 |
| %Winners | 32% | 24% |
Both Swiatek and Mertens played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Mertens have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Swiatek played 3 games more than Mertens. Swiatek scored 24 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Mertens struck 14 winners (24%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 4 |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 18/46 |
| %1st in | 61% | 39% |
| 1st pts | 24/35 | 14/18 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/28 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 54% |
Swiatek recorded 8 aces . Mertens fired 4 aces . Swiatek won 69% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/8 |
| % Converted | 63% | 75% |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 60% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Pole broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Elise broke her opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||
| R2 Garcia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 75-50 | 75-50 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 35/57 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/35 | 24/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Mertens | |||
| R2 Stearns |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 59-36 | 59-36 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 14 | 14 | |
| %Winners | 24% | 24% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 18/46 | 18/46 | |
| % 1st in | 39% | 39% | |
| 1st pts | 14/18 | 14/18 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWLWW
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- Elise MertensMertens – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
