Karolina Muchova and Elina Svitolina will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on BUTCH BUCHHOLZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.74
Elina Svitolina -> 2.09
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 3rd time that Karolina Muchova and Elina Svitolina play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Svitolina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Svitolina won 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in London back in 2019.
Highlights Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova – London 09-July-2019
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Muchova reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Victoria Azarenka 6-0 ret..
In the 2nd round against Azarenka, the Czech had a free pass after Azarenka retired on a 6-0 . scoreline.
Muchova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (238-114). 10-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Muchova has a compiled 122-50 match record in the last years on hard.
Muchova’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Linz and Dubai.
Karolina has a composed 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Elina Svitolina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-5 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-9 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Elina reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Belinda Bencic 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-1 6-2). During the match Svitolina scored 61 points vs Bencic’s 44. Elina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Svitolina blasted 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Elina Svitolina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 65% of her first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Elina was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Bencic 5 times.
Elina has a composed 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muchova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 6 | 15 |
| Pts | 31-15 | 61-44 |
| Total Points | 46 | 105 |
| Winners | 11 | 26 |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% |
Both Muchova and Svitolina played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Muchova and Svitolina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Muchova played 9 games less than Svitolina. The Czech scored 11 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian fired 26 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muchova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 16/24 | 37/57 |
| %1st in | 67% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 11/16 | 26/37 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 5/8 | 10/20 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 50% |
Muchova bagged 2 aces . Svitolina scored 4 aces . Muchova won 69% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muchova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/5 |
| % Converted | 100% | 100% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Muchova broke her opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Muchova pretty effective on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Ukrainian broke her opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. Svitolina was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Muchova | |||
| R2 Azarenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 1 | |
| Tot Games | 6 | 6 | |
| pts | 31-15 | 31-15 | |
| Total points | 46 | 46 | |
| Winners | 11 | 11 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 16/24 | 16/24 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 11/16 | 11/16 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Svitolina | |||
| R2 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 61-44 | 61-44 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 37/57 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 26/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 10/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 5/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWWW
WWLWWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-3 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Taylor TownsendTownsend (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-5) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
