Paula Badosa and Clara Tauson will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Clara Tauson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Clara Tauson is the pick to win this match.
Clara Tauson -> 1.71
Paula Badosa -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa vs. Clara Tauson
This will be the 4th time that Paula Badosa and Clara Tauson fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Badosa won 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in Toronto back in 2024.
Highlights Paula Badosa vs Clara Tauson – Toronto 07-August-2024
Paula Badosa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Paula got to the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Victoria Mboko 7-5 1-6 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard defeated Mboko (7-5 1-6 7-63). During the match, Badosa scored 105 points vs Mboko’s 102. Badosa was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Badosa blasted 5 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 61% of her first serves in, winning 72% (42/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Mboko 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Badosa has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (308-174). 11-7 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has an overall 126-73 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Spaniard’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .
The Spaniard has an aggregate 11-7 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Clara Tauson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-6 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-28 | 19-16 | 14-5 | 5-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 6-7 | 13-5 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 26-18 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-15 | 13-4 | 4-5 | 21-4 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
Ranked no. 23, the Dane got to the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Julia Grabher 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Grabher (6-4 7-5). During the match Tauson scored 77 points vs Grabher’s 58. Clara was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Tauson scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Clara Tauson was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of her 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Clara broke Grabher 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Auckland where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 4-6 ret..
Tauson has an overall 17-5 win-loss record in 2025, 14-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 22 |
| Pts | 105-102 | 77-58 |
| Total Points | 207 | 135 |
| Winners | 42 | 24 |
| %Winners | 40% | 31% |
Both Badosa and Tauson played 1 match. At the moment, Paula Badosa conceded 1 set while Clara Tauson hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Badosa has played 1 set more than Tauson (3 vs 2). Therefore, Badosa played 10 games more than Tauson. The Spaniard scored 42 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane made 24 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 58/95 | 30/63 |
| %1st in | 61% | 48% |
| 1st pts | 42/58 | 24/30 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 22/33 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 67% |
Badosa bagged 5 aces . Tauson struck 1 ace . Badosa won 72% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Tauson won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 |
| Saved | 5 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Paula broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Clara broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Clara conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | |||
| R2 Mboko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 1-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 105-102 | 105-102 | |
| Total points | 207 | 207 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 58/95 | 58/95 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 42/58 | 42/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 16/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Tauson | |||
| R2 Grabher |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 77-58 | 77-58 | |
| Total points | 135 | 135 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/63 | 30/63 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 24/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/33 | 22/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWLWWLWL
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- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
