Madison Keys and Alexandra Eala will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.108
Alexandra Eala -> 6.65
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Alexandra Eala
There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Alexandra Eala since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-3 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Elina Avanesyan 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Avanesyan (6-3 6-3). During the match, Keys scored 72 points vs Avanesyan’s 56. Madison was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys scored 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 4 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 69% of her first serves in, winning 51% (21/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Avanesyan 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (246-125). 19-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Keys has an overall 152-75 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.
Madison has an overall 19-2 win-loss record in 2025, 19-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Alexandra Eala
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-7 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-31 | 27-18 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-23 | 37-16 | 0-3 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-20 | 30-13 | 0-1 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-13 | 10-7 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140, the Filipino got to the 3rd round after beating Katie Volynets 6-3 7-6(3) and Jelena Ostapenko 7-6(2) 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Eala had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (7-62 7-5). During the match Eala scored 93 points vs Ostapenko’s 84. The Filipino was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Eala blasted 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Alexandra Eala lost the serve 4 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Eala put 73% of her first serves in, winning 61% (45/74) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Eala broke Ostapenko 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandra hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Alexandra’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra.
The Filipino has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 47 |
| Pts | 72-56 | 168-153 |
| Total Points | 128 | 321 |
| Winners | 21 | 71 |
| %Winners | 29% | 42% |
Keys played 1 match while Eala competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Keys has played 2 set(s) less than Eala (2 vs 4). Therefore, Keys played 29 games less than Eala. Keys scored 21 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The Filipino blasted 71 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 41/59 | 123/170 |
| %1st in | 69% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 21/41 | 71/123 |
| %1st pts | 51% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 23/47 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 49% |
Keys blasted 2 aces . Eala made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Keys won 51% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Eala won 58% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 11/22 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 21 |
| Saved | 1 | 13 |
| % Saved | 20% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
Keys broke her opponent 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American lost her serve 4 times and she saved 20% of the break points that she conceded. The Filipino broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alexandra conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||
| R2 Avanesyan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 72-56 | 72-56 | |
| Total points | 128 | 128 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/59 | 41/59 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 21/41 | 21/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 51% | 51% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Eala | ||||
| R1 Volynets |
R2 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 7-62 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 25 | 47 | |
| pts | 75-69 | 93-84 | 168-153 | |
| Total points | 144 | 177 | 321 | |
| Winners | 26 | 45 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 49/69 | 74/101 | 123/170 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 73% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 26/49 | 45/74 | 71/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 53% | 61% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 13/27 | 23/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/12 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 42% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 15 | 21 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 11/15 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 73% | 106% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWW
WWWLWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-3 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Taylor TownsendTownsend (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-5) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
