Jessica Pegula and Anna Kalinskaya will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.33
Anna Kalinskaya -> 3.32
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Anna Kalinskaya
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Anna Kalinskaya square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3) in the final in Berlin back in 2024.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya – Berlin 23-June-2024
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Bernarda Pera 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Pera (6-4 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 68 points vs Pera’s 52. Jessica was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula fired 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessica Pegula was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (28/36) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pegula broke Pera twice after converting 67% of her break points (2/3).
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (320-162). 16-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a compiled 220-95 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.
Pegula has a composed 16-5 win-loss record in 2025, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Anna Kalinskaya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-21 | 16-14 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-19 | 28-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-18 | 16-15 | 7-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-20 | 22-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 19-12 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, the Russian got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Moyuka Uchijima 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Kalinskaya had a good straight sets win against Uchijima (6-1 6-3). During the match Kalinskaya scored 67 points vs Uchijima’s 45. Anna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Kalinskaya wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Anna Kalinskaya conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 63% of her first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. Anna broke Uchijima 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
The Russian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Singapore.
The Russian has a composed 4-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 |
| Pts | 68-52 | 67-45 |
| Total Points | 120 | 112 |
| Winners | 28 | 26 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Pegula and Kalinskaya played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Kalinskaya have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pegula played 4 games more than Kalinskaya. Pegula scored 28 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 26 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0 |
| 1st in | 36/59 | 37/59 |
| %1st in | 61% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 26/37 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/22 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 68% |
Pegula struck 2 aces . Kalinskaya didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pegula won 78% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 |
| Saved | 1 | 6 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Pegula broke her opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The American extremely effective on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. Anna broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.
| Pegula | |||
| R2 Pera | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 68-52 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/59 | 36/59 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 28/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kalinskaya | |||
| R2 Uchijima | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 67-45 | 67-45 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 37/59 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 26/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Miami
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-3 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Taylor TownsendTownsend (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-5) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction