Brandon Nakashima and David Goffin will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on BUTCH BUCHHOLZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.533
David Goffin -> 2.49
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. David Goffin
This will be the 4th time that Brandon Nakashima and David Goffin fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Nakashima won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the quarter in Acapulco back in February 2025.
Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs David Goffin – Acapulco 27-February-2025
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-12 | 10-7 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Nakashima reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Nakashima defeated Carballes Baena (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Nakashima scored 99 points vs Carballes Baena’s 88. The American was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nakashima fired 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 68% of his first serves in, winning 75% (52/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Nakashima broke Carballes Baena 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Nakashima has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (235-147). 9-6 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a compiled 117-75 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Nakashima’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Acapulco.
Nakashima has an aggregate 9-7 win-loss record in 2025, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
David Goffin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-28 | 24-11 | 7-7 | 9-7 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-26 | 2-5 | 11-9 | 18-9 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-29 | 7-13 | 14-5 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, the Belgian got to the 3rd round after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 2-6 6-4 6-2 and Carlos Alcaraz 5-7 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Alcaraz, The Belgian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Goffin scored 96 points vs Alcaraz’s 93. The Belgian was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Goffin made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. David Goffin lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Goffin put 65% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the 2nd serve. Goffin broke Alcaraz 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
David has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Belgian has a composed 5-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2016. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 57 |
| Pts | 99-88 | 177-165 |
| Total Points | 187 | 342 |
| Winners | 52 | 74 |
| %Winners | 53% | 42% |
Nakashima played 1 match while Goffin competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Brandon Nakashima surrendered 1 set, while David Goffin lost 2 sets. Nakashima has played 3 set(s) less than Goffin (3 vs 6). Therefore, Nakashima played 28 games less than Goffin. Nakashima scored 52 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, David made 74 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 69/101 | 101/165 |
| %1st in | 68% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 52/69 | 74/101 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 32/64 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 50% |
Nakashima fired 14 aces . Goffin fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Nakashima won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Goffin won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 8 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 60% | 62% |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 71% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Brandon broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Belgian broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. David conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | |||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 99-88 | 99-88 | |
| Total points | 187 | 187 | |
| Winners | 52 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 69/101 | 69/101 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 52/69 | 52/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 14/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Goffin | ||||
| R1 Vukic |
R2 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 31 | 57 | |
| pts | 81-72 | 96-93 | 177-165 | |
| Total points | 153 | 189 | 342 | |
| Winners | 34 | 40 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 3 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 43/76 | 58/89 | 101/165 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 65% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 40/58 | 74/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/33 | 17/31 | 32/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 55% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/7 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 57% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 110% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLWWLW
LLWWLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Taylor FritzFritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-64 7-61) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Ben SheltonShelton (7-63 2-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Federico CinaCina (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-0 7-61) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Quentin HalysHalys (3-6 7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Corentin MoutetMoutet (5-7 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-73 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alexander BublikBublik (5-7 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 3-6 7-68) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (7-63 6-0) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-6(4) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Ben SheltonShelton (7-6(3) 2-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GastonGaston (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
