Tommy Paul and Francisco Cerundolo will square off in the 3^rd round of the Miami Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.45
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.75

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Francisco Cerundolo

This will be the 7^th time that Tommy Paul and Francisco Cerundolo square off. The head to head is 4-2 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), but Paul has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Cerundolo won 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 in the 3^rd round in at the French Open back in 2024.

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 13, Paul reached the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Alexander Bublik 5-7 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Bublik, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-4). During the match, Paul scored 111 points vs Bublik’s 101. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul scored 17 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (46/58) of his 1st serve and 64% (27/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tommy broke Bublik twice after converting 17% of his break points (2/12).

Paul has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (358-205). 10-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has a compiled 187-106 record in the last years on hard.

Tommy’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide and Dallas.

The American has a composed 13-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Francisco Cerundolo

Ranked no. 24, Cerundolo got to the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Alexandre Muller 6-1 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Muller (6-1 6-2). During the match Cerundolo scored 58 points vs Muller’s 34. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Cerundolo bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Francisco Cerundolo was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (22/29) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Cerundolo broke Muller 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

The Argentine’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Buenos Aires.

Francisco has an aggregate 14-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Cerundolo
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	34	15
Pts	111-101	58-34
Total Points	212	92
Winners	46	22
%Winners	41%	38%

Both Paul and Cerundolo played 1 match. At the moment, Tommy Paul surrendered 1 set while Francisco Cerundolo hasn’t conceded a set so far. Paul has played 1 set more than Cerundolo (3 vs 2). Therefore, Paul played 19 games more than Cerundolo. The American scored 46 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Francisco bagged 22 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Cerundolo
Aces	17	4
Avg per match	17	4
1st in	58/100	29/42
%1st in	58%	69%
1st pts	46/58	22/29
%1st pts	79%	76%
2nd pts	27/42	9/13
%2nd pts	64%	69%

Paul fired 17 aces . Cerundolo struck 4 aces . Paul won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Cerundolo
Won	2	5
Converted	2/12	5/7
% Converted	17%	71%
Conceded	4	1
Saved	3	1
% Saved	75%	100%
Times Broken	1	0

The American broke his opponent twice with a 17% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Cerundolo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Paul
	R2 Bublik	Total
Score	5-7 7-5 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	34	34
pts	111-101	111-101
Total points	212	212
Winners	46	46
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	17	17
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	58/100	58/100
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	46/58	46/58
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	27/42	27/42
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/12	2/12
Converted %	17%	17%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Cerundolo
	R2 Muller	Total
Score	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	58-34	58-34
Total points	92	92
Winners	22	22
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	29/42	29/42
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	22/29	22/29
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	9/13	9/13
% 2nd pts	69%	69%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Miami

• Taylor FritzFritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-6² 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-6⁴ 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman Wong
  Lam Coleman Wong – Ben SheltonShelton (7-6³ 2-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Adam WaltonWalton – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Federico CinaCina (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-0 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Quentin HalysHalys (3-6 7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 3-6 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Corentin MoutetMoutet (5-7 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-7³ 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Alexander BublikBublik (5-7 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (7-6³ 6-0) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-6(4) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
• Adam WaltonWalton – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Ben SheltonShelton (7-6(3) 2-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GastonGaston (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction