Novak Djokovic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Miami Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.066
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 8.7

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli

There is no head to head record between Novak Djokovic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Novak Djokovic

Ranked no. 5, the Serbian reached the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Rinky Hijikata 6-0 7-6(1).

In the 2^nd round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Hijikata (6-0 7-6¹). During the match, Djokovic scored 68 points vs Hijikata’s 44. Djokovic was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Djokovic bagged 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Novak Djokovic was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (33/39) of his 1st serve and 80% (8/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Novak broke Hijikata 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Djokovic has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (446-80). 8-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has a composed 195-32 record in the last years on hard.

Djokovic’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .

Djokovic has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 65, Camilo reached the 3^rd round after defeating Mitchell Krueger 6-2 3-6 6-3, Ethan Quinn 7-6(2) 3-6 6-2, Brandon Holt 2-6 7-6(5) 6-4 and Alex Michelsen 6-7(3) 7-5 6-3.

In the 2^nd round against Michelsen, Camilo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7³ 7-5 6-3). During the match Ugo scored 106 points vs Michelsen’s 102. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about serving, Ugo scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was very efficient on serve to win 71% (53/75) of his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Michelsen 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Rosario Challenger where he defeated Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.

Camilo has a compiled 17-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Djokovic	Ugo
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	9
Tot Games	19	91
Pts	68-44	288-278
Total Points	112	566
Winners	33	138
%Winners	49%	48%

Djokovic played 1 match while Ugo competed in 3 matches. Ugo started his run from the qualifications while Djokovic had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 3 sets while Novak Djokovic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Djokovic has played 7 set(s) less than Ugo (2 vs 9). Therefore, Djokovic played 72 games less than Ugo. The Serbian scored 33 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine scored 138 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Djokovic	Ugo
Aces	9	16
Avg per match	9	5.3
1st in	39/49	193/291
%1st in	80%	66%
1st pts	33/39	138/193
%1st pts	85%	72%
2nd pts	8/10	47/98
%2nd pts	80%	48%

Djokovic blasted 9 aces . Ugo managed to score 16 aces (5.3 per match). Djokovic won 85% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Ugo won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Djokovic	Ugo
Won	3	12
Converted	3/10	12/26
% Converted	30%	46%
Conceded	2	24
Saved	2	15
% Saved	100%	63%
Times Broken	0	9

Djokovic broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Serbian was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. Ugo broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
	R2 Hijikata	Total
Score	6-0 7-61
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	68-44	68-44
Total points	112	112
Winners	33	33
%Winners	49%	49%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	39/49	39/49
% 1st in	80%	80%
1st pts	33/39	33/39
% 1st pts	85%	85%
2nd pts	8/10	8/10
% 2nd pts	80%	80%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/10	3/10
Converted %	30%	30%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Ugo
	Q1 Krueger	Q3 Quinn	R1 Holt	R2 Michelsen	Total
Score	6-2 3-6 6-3	7-62 3-6 6-2	2-6 7-65 6-4	6-73 7-5 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	3	12
Tot Games	26	30	31	34	121
pts	85-75	–	97-101	106-102	288-278
Total points	160	0	198	208	566
Winners	42		43	53	138
%Winners	49%	0%	44%	50%	48%
SERVE
Aces	5	0	8	3	16
Double Faults	2		6	1	9
1st in	53/79	/	65/100	75/112	193/291
% 1st in	67%	0%	65%	67%	66%
1st pts	42/53	/	43/65	53/75	138/193
% 1st pts	79%	0%	66%	71%	72%
2nd pts	12/26	/	14/35	21/37	47/98
% 2nd pts	46%	0%	40%	57%	48%
Breaks
Won	4		5	3	12
Converted	4/11	/	5/12	3/3	12/26
Converted %	36%	0%	42%	100%	46%
Conceded	7		12	5	24
Saved	5/7	0/	6/12	4/5	15
Saved %	71%	–	50%	80%	201%
Times Broken	2		6	1	9

Tennis Scores in Miami

• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Ben SheltonShelton (7-6³ 2-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob Fearnley
  Fearnley (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Adam WaltonWalton – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-6² 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-6⁴ 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Federico CinaCina (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-0 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Quentin HalysHalys (3-6 7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 3-6 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Corentin MoutetMoutet (5-7 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-7³ 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Alexander BublikBublik (5-7 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (7-6³ 6-0) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-6(4) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
• Adam WaltonWalton – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Ben SheltonShelton (7-6(3) 2-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GastonGaston (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction