Thiago Moura Monteiro and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will square off in the semifinal of the Asuncion Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Moura Monteiro who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Thiago Moura Monteiro is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.363
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 2.93
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
There is no head to head record between Thiago Moura Monteiro and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
15 - 8win/loss
93
61
LLWWWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-10 | 3-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-27 | 8-8 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, Moura Monteiro got to the semifinal after defeating Remy Bertola 6-4 0-6 6-1, Mariano Kestelboim 6-4 5-7 6-2 and Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Moura Monteiro had a good straight sets win against Guillen Meza (6-4 6-4). During the match, Moura Monteiro scored 72 points vs Guillen Meza’s 61. The Brazilian was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Moura Monteiro blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 62% of his first serves in, winning 74% (31/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. Moura Monteiro broke Guillen Meza 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Thiago has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Moura Monteiro has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (355-273). 11-5 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moura Monteiro has an aggregate 285-176 match record in the last years on clay.
The Brazilian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Santiago Challenger.
The Brazilian has an aggregate 14-8 win-loss record in 2025, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Asuncion Challenger
The Brazilian has never competed in this tournament before.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 0-1 | 38-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-25 | 1-3 | 19-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-29 | 1-3 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 345, Pucinelli De Almeida got to the semifinal after defeating Facundo Mena 7-5 6-2, Matias Soto 6-2 6-2 and Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Andres Burruchaga (6-3 6-4). During the match Pucinelli De Almeida scored 71 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s 54. Pucinelli De Almeida was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Pucinelli De Almeida wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 66% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Pucinelli De Almeida broke Andres Burruchaga 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pucinelli De Almeida hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Pucinelli De Almeida has an overall 8-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Asuncion Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moura Monteiro | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 55 |
| Pts | 242-218 | 208-160 |
| Total Points | 460 | 368 |
| Winners | 102 | 77 |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% |
Both Moura Monteiro and Pucinelli De Almeida played 3 matches. At the moment, Thiago Moura Monteiro dropped 2 sets while Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Moura Monteiro has played 2 sets more than Pucinelli De Almeida (8 vs 6). Therefore, Moura Monteiro played 18 games more than Pucinelli De Almeida. The Brazilian scored 102 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian blasted 77 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moura Monteiro | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| 1st in | 146/225 | 108/181 |
| %1st in | 65% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 102/146 | 77/108 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 37/79 | 42/73 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 58% |
Moura Monteiro blasted 13 aces (4.3 per match). Pucinelli De Almeida managed to score 1 ace (0.3 per match). Moura Monteiro won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Pucinelli De Almeida won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moura Monteiro | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/30 | 12/26 |
| % Converted | 47% | 46% |
| Conceded | 22 | 11 |
| Saved | 13 | 8 |
| % Saved | 59% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 3 |
The Brazilian broke his opponents 14 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Brazilian lost his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Matheus broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Matheus conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moura Monteiro | |||||
| R1 Bertola |
R2 Kestelboim |
1/4 Guillen Meza |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 0-6 6-1 | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 30 | 20 | 73 | |
| pts | 67-70 | 103-87 | 72-61 | 242-218 | |
| Total points | 137 | 190 | 133 | 460 | |
| Winners | 26 | 45 | 31 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 40/61 | 64/96 | 42/68 | 146/225 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 67% | 62% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/40 | 45/64 | 31/42 | 102/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 70% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 15/32 | 11/26 | 37/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 47% | 42% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 6/14 | 4/6 | 14/30 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 43% | 67% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 6/10 | 4/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Pucinelli De Almeida | |||||
| R1 Mena |
R2 Soto |
1/4 Andres Burruchaga |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 | 19 | 55 | |
| pts | 75-63 | 62-43 | 71-54 | 208-160 | |
| Total points | 138 | 105 | 125 | 368 | |
| Winners | 26 | 21 | 30 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 36/64 | 28/50 | 44/67 | 108/181 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 66% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 21/28 | 30/44 | 77/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 75% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 11/22 | 13/23 | 42/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 50% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/11 | 4/8 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 45% | 50% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/2 | 5/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 71% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWWW
LWLWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Asuncion Challenger
- Emilio NavaNava – Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Arklon Huertas Del Pino/Conner Huertas Del PinoHuertas Del Pino/Conner Huertas Del Pino – Cristian Rodriguez/Marcelo ZormannRodriguez/Marcelo Zormann (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Guillermo Duran/Mariano KestelboimDuran/Mariano Kestelboim – Hernan Casanova/Santiago Rodriguez TavernaCasanova/Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
