Cristian Garin and Felipe Meligeni Alves will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Merida Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on ESTADIO LORENZO MOLINA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.48
Felipe Meligeni Alves -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves

There is no head to head record between Cristian Garin and Felipe Meligeni Alves since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Cristian Garin

Ranked no. 136, Garin got to the semifinal after beating Miguel Tobon 6-2 6-0, Petr Nesterov 6-4 6-3 and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 6-3 6-1.

In the quarter, Christian had a good straight sets win against Pacheco Mendez (6-3 6-1). During the match, Garin scored 71 points vs Pacheco Mendez’s 51. Christian was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Garin made 7 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Cristian Garin conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 55% of his first serves in, winning 70% (21/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the 2nd serve. Christian broke Pacheco Mendez 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Christian hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Garin has winning record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (281-205). 4-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Garin has a composed 182-110 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Christian has an aggregate 10-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Merida Challenger

Christian has never competed in this tournament before.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Ranked no. 176, Felipe reached the semifinal after beating Rodrigo Alujas 6-3 6-4, Patrick Maloney 7-6(5) 6-3 and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-1 6-0.

In the quarter, Felipe had a good straight sets win against Carlos Prado Angelo (6-1 6-0). During the match Meligeni scored 56 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 24. Meligeni was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Meligeni recorded 4 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Felipe Meligeni Alves conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Meligeni put 71% of his first serves in, winning 74% (26/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Felipe was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Carlos Prado Angelo 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Felipe hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Felipe has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Garin	Meligeni
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	49	54
Pts	187-131	209-146
Total Points	318	355
Winners	62	85
%Winners	33%	41%

Both Garin and Meligeni played 3 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Garin and Meligeni have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Garin played 5 games less than Meligeni. Garin scored 62 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Meligeni scored 85 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Garin	Meligeni
Aces	10	10
Avg per match	3.3	3.3
1st in	90/159	117/171
%1st in	57%	68%
1st pts	62/90	85/117
%1st pts	69%	73%
2nd pts	45/69	30/54
%2nd pts	65%	56%

Garin managed to score 10 aces (3.3 per match). Meligeni fired 10 aces (3.3 per match). Garin won 69% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Meligeni won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Garin	Meligeni
Won	13	13
Converted	13/30	13/20
% Converted	43%	65%
Conceded	6	10
Saved	4	6
% Saved	67%	60%
Times Broken	2	4

The Chilean broke his opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Chilean surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Meligeni broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Felipe conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Garin
	R1 Tobon	R2 Nesterov	1/4 Pacheco	Total
Score	6-2 6-0	6-4 6-3	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	14	19	16	49
pts	53-26	63-54	71-51	187-131
Total points	79	117	122	318
Winners	14	27	21	62
%Winners	26%	43%	30%	33%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	7	10
Double Faults	2	1	0	3
1st in	18/36	42/68	30/55	90/159
% 1st in	50%	62%	55%	57%
1st pts	14/18	27/42	21/30	62/90
% 1st pts	78%	64%	70%	69%
2nd pts	14/18	14/26	17/25	45/69
% 2nd pts	78%	54%	68%	65%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	13
Converted	5/7	4/7	4/16	13/30
Converted %	71%	57%	25%	43%
Conceded	0	3	3	6
Saved	0/0	1/3	3/3	4
Saved %	–	33%	100%	44%
Times Broken	0	2	0	2

Meligeni
	R1 Alujas	R2 Maloney	1/4 Carlos Prado Angelo	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	7-65 6-3	6-1 6-0
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	19	22	13	54
pts	76-62	77-60	56-24	209-146
Total points	138	137	80	355
Winners	29	30	26	85
%Winners	38%	39%	46%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	4	10
Double Faults	0	2	0	2
1st in	44/64	38/58	35/49	117/171
% 1st in	69%	66%	71%	68%
1st pts	29/44	30/38	26/35	85/117
% 1st pts	66%	79%	74%	73%
2nd pts	13/20	10/20	7/14	30/54
% 2nd pts	65%	50%	50%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	13
Converted	4/7	4/8	5/5	13/20
Converted %	57%	50%	100%	65%
Conceded	3	4	3	10
Saved	2/3	1/4	3/3	6
Saved %	67%	25%	100%	64%
Times Broken	1	3	0	4

Tennis Scores in Merida Challenger

• Cristian GarinGarin – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Garrett JohnsJohns (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Hugo DellienDellien – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Cristian GarinGarin – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-3 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo DellienDellien – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Christian GarinGarin (0-0) – H2H and prediction