Jesper De Jong and Ivan Gakhov will square off in the semifinal of the Murcia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.24
Ivan Gakhov -> 3.72
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Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Ivan Gakhov
This will be the 2nd time that Jesper De Jong and Ivan Gakhov play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Gakhov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Gakhov won 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the semifinal in the Girona Challenger back in 2023.
Jesper De Jong
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-25 | 12-5 | 33-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-23 | 19-4 | 30-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-28 | 12-7 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-29 | 2-6 | 27-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 105, Jesper reached the semifinal after beating Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 6-3, Valentin Vacherot 6-3 3-6 7-5 and Harold Mayot w/o.
In the quarter, The Dutch defeated Mayot (w/o). During the match, De Jong and Mayot scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 105 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Dutch was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, De Jong wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Jesper De Jong conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jesper has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
De Jong has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (259-154). 2-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Jong has an aggregate147-80 record in the last 9 years on clay.
De Jong’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier.
The Dutch has a composed 6-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Ivan Gakhov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-9 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-35 | 1-2 | 35-32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-30 | 2-4 | 26-21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 56-32 | 1-3 | 53-26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-28 | 0-1 | 38-23 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 318, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 6-4, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-4 7-6(2) and Denis Yevseyev 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Yevseyev, Gakhov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Gakhov scored less points (5) than Yevseyev. In fact, the world no. 105 won 86 points vs Yevseyev’s. That means that Gakhov was more focused during the important points. Gakhov was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Gakhov scored 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Ivan Gakhov lost the serve 6 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Gakhov put 65% of his first serves in, winning 56% (31/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. Ivan broke Yevseyev 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ivan has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Russian has a composed 10-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Jong | Gakhov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 68 |
| Pts | 161-139 | 239-220 |
| Total Points | 300 | 459 |
| Winners | 60 | 88 |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% |
De Jong played 2 matches while Gakhov competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jesper De Jong lost 1 set, while Ivan Gakhov dropped 1 set. De Jong has played 2 set(s) less than Gakhov (5 vs 7). Therefore, De Jong played 20 games less than Gakhov. Jesper scored 60 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Gakhov blasted 88 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Jong | Gakhov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 80/141 | 137/222 |
| %1st in | 57% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 60/80 | 88/137 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 30/61 | 39/85 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 46% |
De Jong scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Gakhov fired 15 aces (5 per match). De Jong won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Gakhov won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Jong | Gakhov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 15 |
| Converted | 9/15 | 15/36 |
| % Converted | 60% | 42% |
| Conceded | 12 | 23 |
| Saved | 7 | 11 |
| % Saved | 58% | 48% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 12 |
De Jong broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. De Jong surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 15 times with a 42% conversion rate. Ivan conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 48% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Jong | |||||
| R1 Pellegrino |
R2 Vacherot |
1/4 Mayot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 3-6 7-5 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | – | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 30 | – | 48 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 100-96 | – | 161-139 | |
| Total points | 104 | 196 | – | 300 | |
| Winners | 24 | 36 | – | 60 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% | – | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | – | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | – | 7 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 52/92 | – | 80/141 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | – | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 36/52 | – | 60/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 69% | – | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 16/40 | – | 30/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 40% | – | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | – | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 6/12 | – | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | – | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | – | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 5/10 | – | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Gakhov | |||||
| R1 Carreno-Busta |
R2 Budkov |
1/4 Yevseyev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-62 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 26 | 68 | |
| pts | 67-56 | 86-73 | 86-91 | 239-220 | |
| Total points | 123 | 159 | 177 | 459 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 31 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 33% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 39/60 | 43/77 | 55/85 | 137/222 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 56% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 28/43 | 31/55 | 88/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 65% | 56% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 15/34 | 13/30 | 39/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 44% | 43% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 6/17 | 6/13 | 15/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 35% | 46% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 11 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/9 | 5/11 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 44% | 45% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLWLW
LLWWWLLLWW Tennis Scores in Murcia Challenger
- Jesper de Jong/Mats Hermansde Jong/Mats Hermans – Edas Butvilas/Ramkumar RamanathanButvilas/Ramkumar Ramanathan (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ivan GakhovGakhov – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
