Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Gabriela Ruse will face off in the 3^rd round of the Miami Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.041
Elena Gabriela Ruse -> 10.75

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Gabriela Ruse

There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Gabriela Ruse since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-0.

In the 2^nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Tomova (6-3 6-0). During the match, Sabalenka scored 60 points vs Tomova’s 33. Aryna was very aggressive to blast 16 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka scored just 1 ace and she was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 59% of her first serves in, winning 67% (16/24) of the points behind her 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Tomova 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).

Sabalenka has a marvellous record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (392-172). 18-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled 245-96 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

The Belarussian has a composed 18-4 win-loss record in 2025, 18-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Elena Gabriela Ruse

Ranked no. 102, Gabriela Ruse got to the 3^rd round after beating Mirjam Bjorklund 2-6 6-4 6-3, Ena Shibahara 4-6 6-1 7-5, Polina Kudermetova 6-1 6-7(5) 6-2 and Magdalena Frech 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Frech (6-4 6-4). During the match Gabriela Ruse scored 69 points vs Frech’s 60. Elena was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Gabriela Ruse fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Gabriela Ruse lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gabriela Ruse put 59% of her first serves in, winning 75% (27/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Frech 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elena started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Romanian has an aggregate 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Gabriela Ruse
Match played	1	4
Tot Set	2	11
Tot Games	15	104
Pts	60-33	348-299
Total Points	93	647
Winners	16	127
%Winners	27%	36%

Sabalenka played 1 match while Gabriela Ruse competed in 4 matches. Gabriela Ruse started her run from the qualifications while Sabalenka had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Elena Gabriela Ruse surrendered 3 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 9 set(s) less than Gabriela Ruse (2 vs 11). Therefore, Sabalenka played 89 games less than Gabriela Ruse. Sabalenka scored 16 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian scored 127 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Gabriela Ruse
Aces	1	21
Avg per match	1	5.3
1st in	24/41	186/308
%1st in	59%	60%
1st pts	16/24	127/186
%1st pts	67%	68%
2nd pts	12/17	48/122
%2nd pts	71%	39%

Sabalenka managed to score 1 ace . Gabriela Ruse also bagged 21 aces (5.3 per match). Sabalenka won 67% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Gabriela Ruse won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Gabriela Ruse
Won	6	28
Converted	6/11	28/50
% Converted	55%	56%
Conceded	4	35
Saved	2	17
% Saved	50%	49%
Times Broken	2	18

The Belarussian broke her opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Gabriela Ruse broke her opponents 28 times with a 56% conversion rate. Gabriela Ruse conceded her serve 18 times and she saved 49% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Tomova	Total
Score	6-3 6-0
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	60-33	60-33
Total points	93	93
Winners	16	16
%Winners	27%	27%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	24/41	24/41
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	16/24	16/24
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	12/17	12/17
% 2nd pts	71%	71%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/11	6/11
Converted %	55%	55%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	2/4	2
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	2

Gabriela Ruse
	Q1 Bjorklund	Q3 Shibahara	R1 Kudermetova	R2 Frech	Total
Score	2-6 6-4 6-3	4-6 6-1 7-5	6-1 6-75 6-2	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	11
Tot Games	27	29	28	20	104
pts	84-80	97-84	98-75	69-60	348-299
Total points	164	181	173	129	647
Winners	34	36	30	27	127
%Winners	40%	37%	31%	39%	36%
SERVE
Aces	6	4	6	5	21
Double Faults	5	5	6	3	19
1st in	50/84	56/87	44/76	36/61	186/308
% 1st in	60%	64%	58%	59%	60%
1st pts	34/50	36/56	30/44	27/36	127/186
% 1st pts	68%	64%	68%	75%	68%
2nd pts	12/34	14/31	11/32	11/25	48/122
% 2nd pts	35%	45%	34%	44%	39%
Breaks
Won	6	8	10	4	28
Converted	6/8	8/15	10/18	4/9	28/50
Converted %	75%	53%	56%	44%	56%
Conceded	12	11	7	5	35
Saved	6/12	6/11	2/7	3/5	17
Saved %	50%	55%	29%	60%	194%
Times Broken	6	5	5	2	18

Tennis Scores in Miami

• Elise MertensMertens – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexandra EalaEala – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-6² 7-5) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-4 7-6⁰) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Donna VekicVekic (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lauren DavisDavis (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-4 7-6³) – See score progression
• Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Magda LinetteLinette – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (7-6⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Sofia KeninKenin (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Alycia ParksParks (7-6¹ 6-3) – See score progression
• Ons JabeurJabeur – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-4 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor TownsendTownsend – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (7-6² 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Hugo PonticoPontico (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Imanol Lopez MorilloLopez Morillo – Mateus Alves (2001)Alves (2001) (6-4 6-7² 6-3) – See score progression
• Skander MansouriMansouri – Aaron SchmidSchmid (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Aziz DougazDougaz – Yuichiro InuiInui (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Mateo Nicolas MartinezNicolas Martinez – Gabriele Maria NoceMaria Noce (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
• Luca GiacominiGiacomini – Jake HerseyHersey (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Michal DembekDembek – Maxime HamouHamou (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-4 7-6(0)) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexandra EalaEala – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-6(2) 7-5) – See score progression
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Victoria MbokoMboko (7-5 1-6 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Emma NavarroNavarro – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mccartney KesslerKessler – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Mayar SherifSherif (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kimberly BirrellBirrell – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bernarda PeraPera – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – Julia GrabherGrabher (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Taylor TownsendTownsend (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-5) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ons JabeurJabeur – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction