Tomas Machac and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Miami Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on COURT 7. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.45
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.75
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 3rd time that Tomas Machac and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Machac (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Machac won 6-3 6-3 in the 4th round in Miami back in 2024.
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-7 | 11-4 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 21, the Czech will start his run in Miami after he played his last match in Indian Wells where he lost 4-6 4-2 ret. to Watanuki in the 2nd round on the 7th of March.
Machac has a composed 12-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Acapulco where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.
Talking about his overall career, Machac has an overall 269-136 record. He has a positive 81-37 record on hard.
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-10 | 6-6 | 4-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Matteo reached the 2nd round after defeating Yibing Wu 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Matteo defeated Wu (7-63 4-6 6-3). During the match Arnaldi scored 108 points vs Wu’s 97. Arnaldi was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi struck 16 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (41/50) of his 1st serve and 59% (24/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Matteo broke Wu twice after converting 17% of his break points (2/12).
Matteo’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Arnaldi has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2024. See his history.
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWWWW
LWWWWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Quentin HalysHalys (3-6 7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (7-63 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Federico CinaCina (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Tommy PaulPaul (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GastonGaston (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
