Cristian Garin and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will square off in the quarter of the Merida Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:30 pm on ESTADIO LORENZO MOLINA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.28
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

There is no head to head record between Cristian Garin and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Cristian Garin

Ranked no. 136, Christian reached the quarter after defeating Miguel Tobon 6-2 6-0 and Petr Nesterov 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Nesterov (6-4 6-3). During the match, Garin scored 63 points vs Nesterov’s 54. Christian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Garin scored 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Cristian Garin lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 62% of his first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Nesterov 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Christian hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.

Garin has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (280-205). 3-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Garin has a composed 181-110 match record in the last years on clay.

The Chilean has a composed 9-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Merida Challenger

The Chilean has never competed in this tournament before.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Ranked no. 229 (career-high), Rodrigo reached the quarter after defeating Govind Nanda 6-0 6-1 and Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-3 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Pacheco had a good straight sets win against Alejandro Hernandez (6-3 7-5). During the match Pacheco scored 78 points vs Alejandro Hernandez’s 65. Pacheco was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Pacheco managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (30/41) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rodrigo broke Alejandro Hernandez 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Mexican hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Pacheco’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Antalya.

The Mexican has an overall 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Merida Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Garin	Pacheco
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	33	34
Pts	116-80	127-87
Total Points	196	214
Winners	41	47
%Winners	35%	37%

Both Garin and Pacheco played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Garin and Pacheco have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Garin played 1 game less than Pacheco. The Chilean scored 41 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Rodrigo scored 47 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Garin	Pacheco
Aces	3	11
Avg per match	1.5	5.5
1st in	60/104	65/104
%1st in	58%	63%
1st pts	41/60	47/65
%1st pts	68%	72%
2nd pts	28/44	22/39
%2nd pts	64%	56%

Garin recorded 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pacheco struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Garin won 68% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Pacheco won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Garin	Pacheco
Won	9	10
Converted	9/14	10/17
% Converted	64%	59%
Conceded	3	9
Saved	1	7
% Saved	33%	78%
Times Broken	2	2

Garin broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Chilean dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Pacheco broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Rodrigo conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Garin
	R1 Tobon	R2 Nesterov	Total
Score	6-2 6-0	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	14	19	33
pts	53-26	63-54	116-80
Total points	79	117	196
Winners	14	27	41
%Winners	26%	43%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	3
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	18/36	42/68	60/104
% 1st in	50%	62%	58%
1st pts	14/18	27/42	41/60
% 1st pts	78%	64%	68%
2nd pts	14/18	14/26	28/44
% 2nd pts	78%	54%	64%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/7	4/7	9/14
Converted %	71%	57%	64%
Conceded	0	3	3
Saved	0/0	1/3	1
Saved %	–	33%	17%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Pacheco
	R1 Nanda	R2 Alejandro Hernandez	Total
Score	6-0 6-1	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	13	21	34
pts	49-22	78-65	127-87
Total points	71	143	214
Winners	17	30	47
%Winners	35%	38%	37%
SERVE
Aces	4	7	11
Double Faults	1	4	5
1st in	24/34	41/70	65/104
% 1st in	71%	59%	63%
1st pts	17/24	30/41	47/65
% 1st pts	71%	73%	72%
2nd pts	7/10	15/29	22/39
% 2nd pts	70%	52%	56%
Breaks
Won	6	4	10
Converted	6/10	4/7	10/17
Converted %	60%	57%	59%
Conceded	0	9	9
Saved	0/0	7/9	7
Saved %	–	78%	39%
Times Broken	0	2	2

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