Thiago Moura Monteiro and Alvaro Guillen Meza will square off in the quarter of the Asuncion Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Moura Monteiro who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Thiago Moura Monteiro is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.33
Alvaro Guillen Meza -> 3.1

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Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Alvaro Guillen Meza

There is no head to head record between Thiago Moura Monteiro and Alvaro Guillen Meza since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Thiago Moura Monteiro

Ranked no. 99, Moura Monteiro reached the quarter after beating Remy Bertola 6-4 0-6 6-1 and Mariano Kestelboim 6-4 5-7 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Thiago defeated Kestelboim (6-4 5-7 6-2). During the match, Moura Monteiro scored 103 points vs Kestelboim’s 87. Moura Monteiro was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Moura Monteiro recorded 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 67% of his first serves in, winning 70% (45/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Kestelboim 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Thiago has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Moura Monteiro has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (354-273). 10-5 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moura Monteiro has an overall 284-176 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The Brazilian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Santiago Challenger.

Thiago has an aggregate 13-8 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Asuncion Challenger

Thiago has never competed in this tournament before.

Alvaro Guillen Meza

Ranked no. 257, the Ecuadorian got to the quarter after defeating Murkel Dellien 6-2 7-5 and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 6-3 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Alvaro had a good straight sets win against Lucas Reis Da (6-3 6-2). During the match Guillen Meza scored 67 points vs Lucas Reis Da’s 51. Guillen Meza was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Guillen Meza made 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alvaro Guillen Meza lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Guillen Meza put 56% of his first serves in, winning 68% (23/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. The Ecuadorian broke Lucas Reis Da 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Ecuadorian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Guillen Meza’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este.

Guillen Meza has a composed 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 12-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Asuncion Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moura Monteiro	Guillen Meza
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	4
Tot Games	53	37
Pts	170-157	133-95
Total Points	327	228
Winners	71	52
%Winners	42%	39%

Both Moura Monteiro and Guillen Meza played 2 matches. At the moment, Thiago Moura Monteiro dropped 2 sets while Alvaro Guillen Meza hasn’t dropped a set so far. Moura Monteiro has played 2 sets more than Guillen Meza (6 vs 4). Therefore, Moura Monteiro played 16 games more than Guillen Meza. The Brazilian scored 71 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Guillen Meza made 52 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moura Monteiro	Guillen Meza
Aces	9	4
Avg per match	4.5	2
1st in	104/157	72/115
%1st in	66%	63%
1st pts	71/104	52/72
%1st pts	68%	72%
2nd pts	26/53	21/43
%2nd pts	49%	49%

Moura Monteiro made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Guillen Meza fired 4 aces (2 per match). Moura Monteiro won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Guillen Meza won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moura Monteiro	Guillen Meza
Won	10	11
Converted	10/24	11/15
% Converted	42%	73%
Conceded	16	14
Saved	9	10
% Saved	56%	71%
Times Broken	7	4

The Brazilian broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Moura Monteiro conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Alvaro broke his opponents 11 times with a 73% conversion rate. The Ecuadorian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Moura Monteiro
	R1 Bertola	R2 Kestelboim	Total
Score	6-4 0-6 6-1	6-4 5-7 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	23	30	53
pts	67-70	103-87	170-157
Total points	137	190	327
Winners	26	45	71
%Winners	39%	44%	42%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	9
Double Faults	2	6	8
1st in	40/61	64/96	104/157
% 1st in	66%	67%	66%
1st pts	26/40	45/64	71/104
% 1st pts	65%	70%	68%
2nd pts	11/21	15/32	26/53
% 2nd pts	52%	47%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/10	6/14	10/24
Converted %	40%	43%	42%
Conceded	6	10	16
Saved	3/6	6/10	9
Saved %	50%	60%	55%
Times Broken	3	4	7

Guillen Meza
	R1 Alejandro Dellien Velasco	R2 Lucas Reis Da	Total
Score	6-2 7-5	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	20	17	37
pts	66-44	67-51	133-95
Total points	110	118	228
Winners	29	23	52
%Winners	44%	34%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	4
Double Faults	1	4	5
1st in	38/54	34/61	72/115
% 1st in	70%	56%	63%
1st pts	29/38	23/34	52/72
% 1st pts	76%	68%	72%
2nd pts	8/16	13/27	21/43
% 2nd pts	50%	48%	49%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/5	6/10	11/15
Converted %	100%	60%	73%
Conceded	4	10	14
Saved	2/4	8/10	10
Saved %	50%	80%	65%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Tennis Scores in Asuncion Challenger

• Arklon Huertas Del Pino/Conner Huertas Del PinoHuertas Del Pino/Conner Huertas Del Pino – Cristian Rodriguez/Marcelo ZormannRodriguez/Marcelo Zormann (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Guillermo Duran/Mariano KestelboimDuran/Mariano Kestelboim – Hernan Casanova/Santiago Rodriguez TavernaCasanova/Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emilio NavaNava – Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera (1-2) – H2H and prediction