Alex Michelsen and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on COURT 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.19
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 4.7
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
This will be the 2nd time that Alex Michelsen and Camilo Ugo Carabelli clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Michelsen (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Michelsen won 5-7 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in the Tallahassee Challenger back in 2023.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-7 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Michelsen will start his run in Miami after he played his last match in Indian Wells where he lost 2-0 ret. to Medvedev in the 3rd round on the 9th of March.
Alex has a composed 11-7 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Talking about his overall career, Alex has an overall 140-78 record. He has a positive 80-41 record on hard.
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
16 - 7win/loss
65
61
WLWLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-7 | 2-2 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 65, the Argentine reached the 2nd round after beating Mitchell Krueger 6-2 3-6 6-3, Ethan Quinn 7-6(2) 3-6 6-2 and Brandon Holt 2-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the 1st round against Holt, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-65 6-4).During the match Ugo scored less points (4) than Holt. In fact, the world no. 33 won 97 points vs Holt’s. That means that Ugo was more focused during the important points. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Ugo recorded 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 6 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ugo put 65% of his first serves in, winning 66% (43/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (14/35) on the 2nd serve. Ugo broke Holt 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Rosario Challenger where he beat Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.
Camilo has an overall 16-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLWL
WLWLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-66 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-62 7-5) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico CinaCina – Francisco ComesanaComesana (7-64 7-62) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-3 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Aleksandar VukicVukic (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Rei SakamotoSakamoto (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-5 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Mattia BellucciBellucci (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Brandon HoltHolt (2-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexander BlockxBlockx (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Billy HarrisHarris (7-62 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-6(6) 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-3 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-6(2) 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Marcos GironGiron (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Tommy PaulPaul (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GastonGaston (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Mariano NavoneNavone (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Quentin HalysHalys (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
