Thiago Moura Monteiro and Mariano Kestelboim will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Asuncion Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:30 pm on CANCHA 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Moura Monteiro who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Thiago Moura Monteiro is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.127
Mariano Kestelboim -> 5.3
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Mariano Kestelboim
This will be the 2nd time that Thiago Moura Monteiro and Mariano Kestelboim play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Moura Monteiro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Moura Monteiro won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Punta Del Este Challenger back in 2020.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
12 - 8win/loss
99
61
WLWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-8 | 3-3 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-27 | 8-8 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, the Brazilian reached the 2nd round after beating Remy Bertola 6-4 0-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Thiago defeated Bertola (6-4 0-6 6-1).During the match, Moura Monteiro scored less points (3) than Bertola. In fact, the world no. 99 won 67 points vs Bertola’s. That means that Moura Monteiro was more focused during the important points. Thiago was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Moura Monteiro made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (26/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Bertola 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Moura Monteiro has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (353-273). 9-5 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moura Monteiro has a compiled 283-176 match record in the last years on clay.
Thiago’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Santiago Challenger.
Thiago has an overall 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Asuncion Challenger
Thiago has never competed in this tournament before.
Mariano Kestelboim
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-20 | 2-1 | 30-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-11 | 2-1 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 1-4 | 21-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 491, Mariano reached the 2nd round after defeating Paul Valsecchi 6-1 6-0, Nicolas Kicker 6-3 6-2 and Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Kestelboim had a good straight sets win against Ribeiro De Almeida (6-2 6-2). During the match Kestelboim scored 69 points vs Ribeiro De Almeida’s 48. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Kestelboim scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mariano Kestelboim lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kestelboim put 71% of his first serves in, winning 64% (34/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Ribeiro De Almeida 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
The Argentine’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este.
Mariano has an aggregate 13-7 win-loss record in 2025, 13-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Asuncion Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moura Monteiro | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 46 |
| Pts | 67-70 | 193-126 |
| Total Points | 137 | 319 |
| Winners | 26 | 81 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Moura Monteiro played 1 match while Kestelboim competed in 3 matches. Kestelboim started his run from the qualifications while Moura Monteiro had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Thiago Moura Monteiro lost 1 set while Mariano Kestelboim hasn’t conceded a set so far. Moura Monteiro has played 3 set(s) less than Kestelboim (3 vs 6). Therefore, Moura Monteiro played 23 games less than Kestelboim. Thiago scored 26 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Mariano made 81 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moura Monteiro | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 40/61 | 124/179 |
| %1st in | 66% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 26/40 | 81/124 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 31/55 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 56% |
Moura Monteiro fired 3 aces . Kestelboim blasted 2 aces (0.7 per match). Moura Monteiro won 65% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kestelboim won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moura Monteiro | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 16 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 16/21 |
| % Converted | 40% | 76% |
| Conceded | 6 | 20 |
| Saved | 3 | 17 |
| % Saved | 50% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Moura Monteiro broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Brazilian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Kestelboim broke his opponents 16 times with a 76% conversion rate. Kestelboim conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moura Monteiro | |||
| R1 Bertola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 0-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 67-70 | 67-70 | |
| Total points | 137 | 137 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/61 | 40/61 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 26/40 | 26/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Kestelboim | |||||
| Q1 Valsecchi |
Q3 Kicker |
R1 Ribeiro De Almeida |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 17 | 16 | 46 | |
| pts | 52-23 | 72-55 | 69-48 | 193-126 | |
| Total points | 75 | 127 | 117 | 319 | |
| Winners | 18 | 29 | 34 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 49% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/37 | 44/67 | 53/75 | 124/179 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 66% | 71% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 18/27 | 29/44 | 34/53 | 81/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 66% | 64% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 11/23 | 11/22 | 31/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | 48% | 50% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/7 | 5/6 | 16/21 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 71% | 83% | 76% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 | 6 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 9/11 | 5/6 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 82% | 83% | 265% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWLWWL
WWWLLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Asuncion Challenger
- Guillermo Duran/Mariano KestelboimDuran/Mariano Kestelboim – Seita Watanabe/Takeru YuzukiWatanabe/Takeru Yuzuki (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli – Igor GimenezGimenez (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezJoaquin Rodriguez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Gustavo Ribeiro De AlmeidaRibeiro De Almeida (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Benjamin TorrealbaTorrealba (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Felix CorwinCorwin (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Matias SotoSoto – Conner Huertas Del PinoHuertas Del Pino (7-63 6-0) – See score progression
- Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias – Juan Bautista TorresBautista Torres (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Murkel DellienDellien (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Hernan CasanovaCasanova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Hernando Jose Escurra IsnardiJose Escurra Isnardi (7-66 6-1) – See score progression
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Alex Santino Nunez VeraSantino Nunez Vera (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida – Facundo MenaMena (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Remy BertolaBertola (6-4 0-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Mariano KestelboimKestelboim (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Emilio NavaNava (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matias SotoSoto – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
