Cristian Garin and Petr Nesterov will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Merida Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:30 pm on ESTADIO LORENZO MOLINA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.131
Petr Nesterov -> 5.25
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Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Petr Nesterov
There is no head to head record between Cristian Garin and Petr Nesterov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Cristian Garin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-8 | 5-4 | 4-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-18 | 2-6 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 136, Garin got to the 2nd round after defeating Miguel Tobon 6-2 6-0.
In the 1st round, Christian had a good straight sets win against Tobon (6-2 6-0). During the match, Garin scored 53 points vs Tobon’s 26. Garin was quite aggressive to blast 14 winners.
Talking about the service games, Garin scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Cristian Garin was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (14/18) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Garin broke Tobon 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Garin has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (279-205). 2-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Garin has an overall 180-110 match record in the last years on clay.
The Chilean has a composed 8-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
Christian has never competed in this tournament before.
Petr Nesterov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 3-3 | 35-17 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-22 | 30-9 | 21-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-18 | 5-6 | 18-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 448, Petr reached the 2nd round after defeating Robin Catry 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Petr had a good straight sets win against Catry (6-3 6-1). During the match Nesterov scored 60 points vs Catry’s 40. Nesterov was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Nesterov scored 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Petr Nesterov was quite effective on serve to win 72% (23/32) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nesterov broke Catry 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
The Bulgarian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Bucharest.
Nesterov has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Garin | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 16 |
| Pts | 53-26 | 60-40 |
| Total Points | 79 | 100 |
| Winners | 14 | 23 |
| %Winners | 26% | 38% |
Both Garin and Nesterov played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Garin and Nesterov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Garin played 2 games less than Nesterov. Garin scored 14 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, The Bulgarian blasted 23 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Garin | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 18/36 | 32/47 |
| %1st in | 50% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 14/18 | 23/32 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 9/15 |
| %2nd pts | 78% | 60% |
Garin made 1 ace . Nesterov also fired 3 aces . Garin won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Nesterov won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Garin | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 71% | 56% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Christian broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Christian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Petr broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Bulgarian conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Garin | |||
| R1 Tobon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 53-26 | 53-26 | |
| Total points | 79 | 79 | |
| Winners | 14 | 14 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 26% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 18/36 | 18/36 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 14/18 | 14/18 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 14/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 78% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nesterov | |||
| R1 Catry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 60-40 | |
| Total points | 100 | 100 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 32/47 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 23/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 9/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWLWL
LWLWLWWWLL Tennis Scores in Merida Challenger
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