Jesper De Jong and Valentin Vacherot will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Murcia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on PISTA 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.61
Valentin Vacherot -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Valentin Vacherot
This will be the 2nd time that Jesper De Jong and Valentin Vacherot play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Vacherot (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Vacherot won 6-2 6-3 in the 2nd round in the San Marino Challenger back in 2022.
Jesper De Jong
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-25 | 12-5 | 33-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-23 | 19-4 | 30-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-28 | 12-7 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-29 | 2-6 | 27-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 105, De Jong reached the 2nd round after defeating Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Pellegrino (6-3 6-3). During the match, De Jong scored 61 points vs Pellegrino’s 43. Jesper was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Jong recorded 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jesper De Jong was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jesper was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Pellegrino 3 times.
De Jong has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (258-154). 1-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Jong has a composed146-80 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
The Dutch’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier.
De Jong has an aggregate 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Valentin Vacherot
11 - 6win/loss
265
110
LWWWLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-7 | 6-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-13 | 19-3 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-32 | 6-4 | 49-25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-22 | 27-12 | 18-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-14 | 36-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 265, Valentin reached the 2nd round after defeating Alexander Donski 7-5 7-6(5), Michiel De Krom 6-0 6-1 and Raul Brancaccio 7-6(3) 6-7(6) 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Monegasque defeated Brancaccio (7-63 6-76 6-3). During the match Vacherot scored 106 points vs Brancaccio’s 98. The Monegasque was exceptionally aggressive to blast 61 winners.
Talking about serving, Vacherot struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Valentin Vacherot lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Vacherot put 71% of his first serves in, winning 82% (61/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Vacherot broke Brancaccio twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Vacherot has a compiled 11-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
The Monegasque has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Jong | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 73 |
| Pts | 61-43 | 231-192 |
| Total Points | 104 | 423 |
| Winners | 24 | 118 |
| %Winners | 39% | 51% |
De Jong played 1 match while Vacherot competed in 3 matches. Vacherot started his run from the qualifications while De Jong had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Valentin Vacherot lost 1 set while Jesper De Jong hasn’t dropped a set so far. De Jong has played 5 set(s) less than Vacherot (2 vs 7). Therefore, De Jong played 55 games less than Vacherot. Jesper scored 24 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Valentin fired 118 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Jong | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 150/216 |
| %1st in | 57% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 118/150 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 34/66 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 52% |
De Jong bagged 6 aces . Vacherot bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). De Jong won 86% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Vacherot won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Jong | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 11 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 11/17 |
| % Converted | 100% | 65% |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 8 |
| % Saved | 100% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The Dutch broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Dutch pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Vacherot broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. The Monegasque conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Jong | |||
| R1 Pellegrino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 61-43 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 28/49 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 24/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 14/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Vacherot | |||||
| Q1 Donski |
Q3 De |
R1 Brancaccio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-65 | 6-0 6-1 | 7-63 6-76 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 13 | 35 | 73 | |
| pts | 77-74 | 48-20 | 106-98 | 231-192 | |
| Total points | 151 | 68 | 204 | 423 | |
| Winners | 40 | 17 | 61 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 35% | 58% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 57/82 | 19/30 | 74/104 | 150/216 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 63% | 71% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 40/57 | 17/19 | 61/74 | 118/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 89% | 82% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 7/11 | 14/30 | 34/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 64% | 47% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 6/8 | 2/5 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | 40% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 71% | – | 75% | 146% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLLWLWWW
LWWWLLWWLW Tennis Scores in Murcia Challenger
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Ivan GakhovGakhov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Vilius GaubasGaubas (7-5 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer – Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Marin CilicCilic (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel RinconRincon – Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-1 6-74 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Sumit NagalNagal (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Raul Brancaccio/Andrea PellegrinoBrancaccio/Andrea Pellegrino – Daniel Cukierman/Joshua ParisCukierman/Joshua Paris (6-3 6-76 10-6) – See score progression
- Elmer MollerMoller – Miguel DamasDamas (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Justin EngelEngel (6-4 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (7-63 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Benjamin HassanHassan – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (6-4 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Harold MayotMayot – Edas ButvilasButvilas (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Henrique RochaRocha (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Marin CilicCilic (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Elmer MollerMoller – Miguel DamasDamas (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel RinconRincon – Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Sumit NagalNagal (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Benjamin HassanHassan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Harold MayotMayot – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
