Carlos Taberner and Daniel Merida Aguilar will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Murcia Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on PISTA 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Taberner who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Taberner is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Taberner -> 1.62
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 2.18

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Taberner vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar

This will be the 2^nd time that Carlos Taberner and Daniel Merida Aguilar fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Taberner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Taberner won 6-2 6-3 in the qualifications in the Madrid Challenger back in 2024.

Carlos Taberner

Ranked no. 170, Carlos reached the 2^nd round after defeating Vilius Gaubas 7-5 3-6 6-1.

In the 1^st round, The Spaniard defeated Gaubas (7-5 3-6 6-1). During the match, Taberner scored 96 points vs Gaubas’s 78. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Taberner scored just 1 ace and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Taberner lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Taberner put 67% of his first serves in, winning 88% (43/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Gaubas 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).

Taberner has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (364-237). 7-4 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Taberner has an aggregate 331-188 record in the last years on clay.

Taberner’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Punta Del Este Challenger.

Carlos has a compiled 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Murcia Challenger

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Ranked no. 342, Merida reached the 2^nd round after defeating Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez 6-2 6-1, David Jorda Sanchis 6-3 3-6 6-0 and Marin Cilic 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Merida had a good straight sets win against Cilic (6-2 6-4). During the match Merida scored 71 points vs Cilic’s 58. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Merida blasted 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Merida put 75% of his first serves in, winning 63% (29/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Merida broke Cilic 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

The Spaniard’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Doha.

Daniel has an overall 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Murcia Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Taberner	Merida
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	3	7
Tot Games	28	57
Pts	96-78	213-162
Total Points	174	375
Winners	43	88
%Winners	45%	41%

Taberner played 1 match while Merida competed in 3 matches. Merida started his run from the qualifications while Taberner had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Taberner surrendered 1 set, while Daniel Merida Aguilar conceded 1 set. Taberner has played 4 set(s) less than Merida (3 vs 7). Therefore, Taberner played 29 games less than Merida. Taberner scored 43 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard recorded 88 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Taberner	Merida
Aces	1	4
Avg per match	1	1.3
1st in	49/73	128/170
%1st in	67%	75%
1st pts	43/49	88/128
%1st pts	88%	69%
2nd pts	11/24	26/42
%2nd pts	46%	62%

Taberner scored 1 ace . Merida also fired 4 aces (1.3 per match). Taberner won 88% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Merida won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Taberner	Merida
Won	4	14
Converted	4/16	14/39
% Converted	25%	36%
Conceded	5	10
Saved	3	7
% Saved	60%	70%
Times Broken	2	3

Carlos broke his opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 14 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Taberner
	R1 Gaubas	Total
Score	7-5 3-6 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	28	28
pts	96-78	96-78
Total points	174	174
Winners	43	43
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	49/73	49/73
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	43/49	43/49
% 1st pts	88%	88%
2nd pts	11/24	11/24
% 2nd pts	46%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/16	4/16
Converted %	25%	25%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Merida
	Q1 De La Cierva	Q3 Jorda Sanchis	R1 Cilic	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-3 3-6 6-0	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	15	24	18	57
pts	63-39	79-65	71-58	213-162
Total points	102	144	129	375
Winners	21	38	29	88
%Winners	33%	48%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2	4
Double Faults	0	0	2	2
1st in	29/40	53/69	46/61	128/170
% 1st in	73%	77%	75%	75%
1st pts	21/29	38/53	29/46	88/128
% 1st pts	72%	72%	63%	69%
2nd pts	9/11	10/16	7/15	26/42
% 2nd pts	82%	63%	47%	62%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	14
Converted	5/14	4/10	5/15	14/39
Converted %	36%	40%	33%	36%
Conceded	3	3	4	10
Saved	3/3	2/3	2/4	7
Saved %	100%	67%	50%	217%
Times Broken	0	1	2	3

Tennis Scores in Murcia Challenger

• Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Marin CilicCilic (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel RinconRincon – Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-1 6-7⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Sumit NagalNagal (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Raul Brancaccio/Andrea PellegrinoBrancaccio/Andrea Pellegrino – Daniel Cukierman/Joshua ParisCukierman/Joshua Paris (6-3 6-7⁶ 10-6) – See score progression
• Elmer MollerMoller – Miguel DamasDamas (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Justin EngelEngel (6-4 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (7-6³ 6-7⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ivan GakhovGakhov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Carlos TabernerTaberner – Vilius GaubasGaubas (7-5 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer – Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Benjamin HassanHassan – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (6-4 6-7² 6-3) – See score progression
• Harold MayotMayot – Edas ButvilasButvilas (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Henrique RochaRocha (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Marin CilicCilic (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Elmer MollerMoller – Miguel DamasDamas (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel RinconRincon – Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Sumit NagalNagal (6-4 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Benjamin HassanHassan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos TabernerTaberner – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Harold MayotMayot – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (1-0) – H2H and prediction