Liudmila Samsonova and Naomi Osaka will square off in the 2nd round of the Miami Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.73
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2.11

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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Naomi Osaka

This will be the 3rd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Naomi Osaka fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Samsonova won 6-2 4-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in 2024.

Highlights Liudmila Samsonova vs Naomi Osaka – Madrid 25-April-2024

Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova

9 - 7win/loss

Hard
9-7
I Hard
0-0
Rank
21
High
12
LWWWLWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-7 9-7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 26-23 12-15 6-5 0-0 8-3 0-0
2023 34-24 25-15 4-4 1-1 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0

Ranked no. 21, Ludmilla will start her run in Miami after she played her last match in Indian Wells where she lost 6-2 6-3 to Sabalenka in the quarter on the 13th of March.

Samsonova has a compiled 9-7 win-loss record in 2025, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Ludmilla’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.

Talking about her overall career, Samsonova has an overall 303-182 record. She has a positive 119-76 record on hard.

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021 and 2023. See her history.

Miami
Samsonova's Record

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka

7 - 3win/loss

Hard
7-3
I Hard
0-0
Rank
61
High
1
WLLWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 7-3 7-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 22-18 13-10 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 61, the Japanese got to the 2nd round after defeating Yuliia Starodubtseva 3-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 1st round against Starodubtseva, Osaka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Osaka scored 96 points vs Starodubtseva’s 89. Osaka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Osaka struck 10 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 53% of her first serves in, winning 75% (38/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (21/46) on the 2nd serve. Osaka broke Starodubtseva 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Naomi’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Auckland.

The Japanese has an overall 7-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.

Miami
Osaka's Record

Tennis Scores in Miami

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