Aryna Sabalenka and Viktoriya Tomova will face off in the 2nd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.038
Viktoriya Tomova -> 11.25

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Viktoriya Tomova

This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Viktoriya Tomova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Tomova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Tomova won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Budapest back in 2016.

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

17 - 4win/loss

Hard
17-4
I Hard
0-0
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-4 17-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka will start her run in Miami after she played her last match in Indian Wells where she lost 2-6 6-4 6-3 to Andreeva in the final on the 16th of March.

Aryna has an overall 17-4 win-loss record in 2025, 17-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Talking about her overall career, The Belarussian has an overall 391-172 record. She has a positive 244-96 record on hard.

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021 and 2023. See her history.

Miami
Sabalenka's Record

Viktoriya Tomova

Viktoriya Tomova

5 - 7win/loss

Hard
2-5
I Hard
3-2
Rank
64
High
46
WLWLLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 5-7 2-5 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 34-34 15-18 15-13 0-1 4-2 0-0
2023 42-29 16-9 20-10 4-5 2-5 0-0
2022 41-32 14-8 21-15 2-5 4-3 0-1
2021 23-32 5-9 13-12 2-7 1-3 2-1

Ranked no. 64, the Bulgarian got to the 2nd round after defeating Caty McNally 6-3 2-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Bulgarian defeated McNally (6-3 2-6 6-3). During the match Tomova scored 91 points vs McNally’s 84. Tomova was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Tomova couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Viktoriya Tomova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Tomova put 63% of her first serves in, winning 67% (37/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Viktoriya broke McNally 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).

The Bulgarian has an aggregate 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023 and 2024. See her history.

Miami
Tomova's Record

Tennis Scores in Miami

Upcoming matches in the draw