Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Brandon Holt will play each other in the 1^st round of the Miami Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Holt who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Brandon Holt is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Holt -> 1.49
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Brandon Holt

There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Brandon Holt since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 65, Ugo Carabelli reached the 1^st round after beating Mitchell Krueger 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Ethan Quinn 7-6(2) 3-6 6-2.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (361-205). 1-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 33-29 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Rosario Challenger where he defeated Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.

Ugo Carabelli has a composed 15-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Brandon Holt

Ranked no. 116, the American got to the 1^st round after beating Martin Damm 4-6 6-2 6-2 and Gabriel Diallo 6-4 2-6 7-5.

In the qualifications, The American defeated Diallo (6-4 2-6 7-5). During the match Holt and Diallo scored the same amount of points (96). However, the world no. 65 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Brandon was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Holt fired 5 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Brandon Holt was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Holt broke Diallo twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holt started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger where he defeated Vit Kopriva in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Bengaluru Challenger where he overcame Shintaro Mochizuki in the final 6-3 6-3.

Holt has an overall 24-7 win-loss record in 2025, 21-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ugo Carabelli	Holt
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	6
Tot Games	26	56
Pts	85-75	183-165
Total Points	160	348
Winners	42	83
%Winners	49%	45%

Ugo Carabelli played 1 match while Holt competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 1 set, while Brandon Holt conceded 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 3 set(s) less than Holt (3 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 30 games less than Holt. Camilo scored 42 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 83 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ugo Carabelli	Holt
Aces	5	9
Avg per match	5	4.5
1st in	53/79	114/169
%1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	42/53	83/114
%1st pts	79%	73%
2nd pts	12/26	32/55
%2nd pts	46%	58%

Ugo Carabelli made 5 aces . Holt fired 9 aces (4.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Holt won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ugo Carabelli	Holt
Won	4	7
Converted	4/11	7/16
% Converted	36%	44%
Conceded	7	9
Saved	5	5
% Saved	71%	56%
Times Broken	2	4

The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
	Q1 Krueger	Q3 Quinn	Total
Score	6-2 3-6 6-3	7-62 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	26	30	56
pts	85-75	–	85-75
Total points	160	0	160
Winners	42		42
%Winners	49%	0%	49%
SERVE
Aces	5	0	5
Double Faults	2		2
1st in	53/79	/	53/79
% 1st in	67%	0%	67%
1st pts	42/53	/	42/53
% 1st pts	79%	0%	79%
2nd pts	12/26	/	12/26
% 2nd pts	46%	0%	46%
Breaks
Won	4		4
Converted	4/11	/	4/11
Converted %	36%	0%	36%
Conceded	7		7
Saved	5/7	0/	5
Saved %	71%	–	36%
Times Broken	2		2

Holt
	Q1 Damm	Q3 Diallo	Total
Score	4-6 6-2 6-2	6-4 2-6 7-5
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	26	30	56
pts	87-69	96-96	183-165
Total points	156	192	348
Winners	40	43	83
%Winners	46%	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	4	5	9
Double Faults	2	0	2
1st in	54/74	60/95	114/169
% 1st in	73%	63%	67%
1st pts	40/54	43/60	83/114
% 1st pts	74%	72%	73%
2nd pts	12/20	20/35	32/55
% 2nd pts	60%	57%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	2	7
Converted	5/9	2/7	7/16
Converted %	56%	29%	44%
Conceded	3	6	9
Saved	1/3	4/6	5
Saved %	33%	67%	50%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Tennis Scores in Miami

• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (7-6² 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Brandon HoltHolt – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander BlockxBlockx – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Billy HarrisHarris – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Rei SakamotoSakamoto – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Pavel KotovKotov (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Darwin BlanchBlanch (6-4 1-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Marcos GironGiron (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher EubanksEubanks – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – David GoffinGoffin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Mariano NavoneNavone (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Quentin HalysHalys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Nuno BorgesBorges (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – (1-2) – H2H and prediction