Mackenzie Mcdonald and Pavel Kotov will square off in the qualifications of the Miami Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.47
Pavel Kotov -> 2.53

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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Pavel Kotov

There is no head to head record between Mackenzie Mcdonald and Pavel Kotov since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Ranked no. 101, the American reached the qualifications after defeating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-1 6-7(4) 3-2 ret..

In the qualifications against Basilashvili, Mackenzie had a free pass after Basilashvili retired on a 6-1 6-7⁴ 3-2 . scoreline.

Mcdonald has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (282-222). 9-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mcdonald has a composed 175-120 match record in the last years on hard.

Mackenzie’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the San Diego Challenger.

The American has a compiled 14-7 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Pavel Kotov

Ranked no. 102, the Russian got to the qualifications after defeating Alexis Galarneau 4-6 6-2 6-1.

In the qualifications against Galarneau, Pavel recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-1). During the match Kotov scored 82 points vs Galarneau’s 63. Kotov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Kotov struck 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (33/44) of his 1st serve and 70% (19/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kotov broke Galarneau 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Pavel has an overall 5-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mcdonald	Kotov
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	4	3
Tot Games	25	25
Pts	87-67	82-63
Total Points	154	145
Winners	45	33
%Winners	52%	40%

Both Mcdonald and Kotov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Mackenzie Mcdonald lost 1 set, while Pavel Kotov surrendered 1 set. Mcdonald has played 1 set more than Kotov (4 vs 3). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (25). Mcdonald scored 45 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 33 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mcdonald	Kotov
Aces	9	11
Avg per match	9	11
1st in	59/77	44/71
%1st in	77%	62%
1st pts	45/59	33/44
%1st pts	76%	75%
2nd pts	9/18	19/27
%2nd pts	50%	70%

Mcdonald managed to score 9 aces . Kotov scored 11 aces . Mcdonald won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mcdonald	Kotov
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/9
% Converted	57%	44%
Conceded	4	1
Saved	2	0
% Saved	50%	0%
Times Broken	2	1

Mackenzie broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Mcdonald conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Kotov broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Pavel conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Mcdonald
	Q1 Basilashvili	Total
Score	6-1 6-74 3-2 ret.
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	87-67	87-67
Total points	154	154
Winners	45	45
%Winners	52%	52%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	59/77	59/77
% 1st in	77%	77%
1st pts	45/59	45/59
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	9/18	9/18
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/7
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	2/4	2
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	2

Kotov
	Q1 Galarneau	Total
Score	4-6 6-2 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	82-63	82-63
Total points	145	145
Winners	33	33
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	44/71	44/71
% 1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	33/44	33/44
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	19/27	19/27
% 2nd pts	70%	70%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/9
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

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