Ivan Denisov and Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros will face off in the qualifications of the Merida Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on ESTADIO LORENZO MOLINA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros who should win in 3 sets.
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros -> 1.47
Ivan Denisov -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Ivan Denisov vs. Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
There is no head to head record between Ivan Denisov and Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Ivan Denisov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-17 | 2-3 | 10-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-16 | 5-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-20 | 5-4 | 15-14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 9-13 | 9-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-15 | 0-1 | 12-10 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, the Russian reached the qualifications after defeating Kosuke Ogura 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Ogura (6-2 6-1). During the match, Denisov scored 56 points vs Ogura’s 34. Ivan was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Denisov bagged 4 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Ivan Denisov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (19/25) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ivan broke Ogura 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Denisov has a losing win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 47% of his matches (87-98). 1-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Denisov has an overall51-50 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Ivan has a compiled 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
5 - 4win/loss
682
682
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-18 | 19-12 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-22 | 22-16 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-19 | 7-10 | 9-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-14 | 19-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-13 | 20-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 757, the Mexican got to the qualifications after beating Gerardo Delgado 6-1 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Mexican had a good straight sets win against Delgado (6-1 6-0). During the match Fernando Rubio Fierros scored 56 points vs Delgado’s 28. The Mexican was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Fernando Rubio Fierros bagged 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 71% of his first serves in, win 68% (23/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the 2nd serve. Fernando Rubio Fierros broke Delgado 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Alan has an overall 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Denisov | Fernando Rubio Fierros |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 13 |
| Pts | 56-34 | 56-28 |
| Total Points | 90 | 84 |
| Winners | 19 | 23 |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% |
Both Denisov and Fernando Rubio Fierros played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Denisov and Fernando Rubio Fierros have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Denisov played 2 games more than Fernando Rubio Fierros. The Russian scored 19 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Mexican blasted 23 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Denisov | Fernando Rubio Fierros |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 34/48 |
| %1st in | 60% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 23/34 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 9/14 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 64% |
Denisov scored 4 aces . Fernando Rubio Fierros fired 3 aces . Denisov won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Fernando Rubio Fierros won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Denisov | Fernando Rubio Fierros |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Denisov broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Mexican broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Alan was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Denisov | |||
| Q1 Ogura | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 56-34 | 56-34 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 25/42 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 19/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Fernando Rubio Fierros | |||
| Q1 Delgado | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 56-28 | 56-28 | |
| Total points | 84 | 84 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/48 | 34/48 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 23/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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