Tatjana Maria and Yuliia Starodubtseva will face off in the qualifications of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on COURT 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tatjana Maria who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tatjana Maria is the pick to win this match.
Tatjana Maria -> 1.727
Yuliia Starodubtseva -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Tatjana Maria vs. Yuliia Starodubtseva
This will be the 2nd time that Tatjana Maria and Yuliia Starodubtseva face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Maria (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Maria won 2-6 6-1 6-2 in the 1st round in Singapore back in January 2025.
Highlights Tatjana Maria vs Yuliia Starodubtseva – Singapore 28-January-2025
Tatjana Maria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-36 | 16-19 | 5-10 | 9-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-31 | 24-17 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-29 | 17-12 | 14-6 | 6-6 | 10-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 87, the German got to the qualifications after beating Leolia Jeanjean 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, Tatjana had a good straight sets win against Jeanjean (6-2 6-2). During the match, Maria scored 64 points vs Jeanjean’s 45. Tatjana was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Maria bagged 5 aces and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Tatjana Maria lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Maria put 73% of her first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 31% (4/13) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Jeanjean 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).
Maria has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 52% of her matches (276-250). 8-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Maria has an overall 126-133 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W100 Bengaluru where she defeated Leolia Jeanjean in the final 6-7(0) 6-3 6-4.
The German has a composed 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Yuliia Starodubtseva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-26 | 26-15 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-17 | 20-5 | 19-10 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, the Ukrainian reached the qualifications after beating Varvara Lepchenko 5-7 6-1 6-1.
In the qualifications against Lepchenko, Starodubtseva recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-1 6-1). During the match Starodubtseva scored 93 points vs Lepchenko’s 77. Starodubtseva was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Starodubtseva wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Yuliia Starodubtseva lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Starodubtseva put 50% of her first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (23/42) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Lepchenko 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
Starodubtseva has a composed 2-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Starodubtseva has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Maria | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 |
| Pts | 64-45 | 93-77 |
| Total Points | 109 | 170 |
| Winners | 28 | 27 |
| %Winners | 44% | 29% |
Both Maria and Starodubtseva played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Yuliia Starodubtseva lost 1 set while Tatjana Maria hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Maria has played 1 set(s) less than Starodubtseva (2 vs 3). Therefore, Maria played 10 games less than Starodubtseva. Maria scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Starodubtseva scored 27 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Maria | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 42/84 |
| %1st in | 73% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 27/42 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 4/13 | 23/42 |
| %2nd pts | 31% | 55% |
Maria managed to score 5 aces . Starodubtseva didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Maria won 80% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 31% of the points. On the other side, Starodubtseva won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Maria | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 7/11 |
| % Converted | 33% | 64% |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Maria broke her opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Tatjana lost her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Starodubtseva broke her opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Yuliia conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Maria | |||
| Q1 Jeanjean |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 64-45 | 64-45 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 35/48 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 28/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 31% | 31% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Starodubtseva | |||
| Q1 Lepchenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 93-77 | 93-77 | |
| Total points | 170 | 170 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 42/84 | 42/84 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 27/42 | 27/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/42 | 23/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWLLWWWW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Eva LysLys – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Bernarda PeraPera – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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