Robin Catry and Tristan Mccormick will play each other in the qualifications of the Merida Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on ESTADIO LORENZO MOLINA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Mccormick who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tristan Mccormick is the pick to win this match.
Tristan Mccormick -> 1.76
Robin Catry -> 1.97
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Prediction and head to head Robin Catry vs. Tristan Mccormick
There is no head to head record between Robin Catry and Tristan Mccormick since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Robin Catry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-11 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-10 | 5-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-7 | 7-3 | 2-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Catry got to the qualifications after beating Drew Van Orderlain 7-6(5) 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, The American defeated Van Orderlain (7-65 4-6 6-4). During the match, Catry scored 106 points vs Van Orderlain’s 95. Catry was extremely aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Catry blasted 14 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Robin Catry was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (49/60) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Catry broke Van Orderlain twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Catry has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (55-31). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Catry has an overall6-6 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
Robin has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
Catry has never competed in this tournament before.
Tristan Mccormick
8 - 8win/loss
714
495
WLWLWWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-8 | 5-4 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-32 | 9-11 | 17-17 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-20 | 4-7 | 14-8 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-11 | 13-5 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-6 | 14-3 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 729, Tristan got to the qualifications after beating Reese Stalder 6-2 3-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, The American defeated Stalder (6-2 3-6 6-2). During the match Mccormick scored 92 points vs Stalder’s 79. Tristan was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Mccormick struck 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Tristan Mccormick lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mccormick put 59% of his first serves in, winning 72% (34/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Mccormick broke Stalder 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Mccormick has a composed 8-8 win-loss record in 2025, 1-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Catry | Mccormick |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 25 |
| Pts | 106-95 | 92-79 |
| Total Points | 201 | 171 |
| Winners | 49 | 34 |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% |
Both Catry and Mccormick played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Robin Catry lost 1 set, while Tristan Mccormick dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Catry and Mccormick have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Catry played 8 games more than Mccormick. The American scored 49 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Mccormick scored 34 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Catry | Mccormick |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 8 |
| 1st in | 60/90 | 47/79 |
| %1st in | 67% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 49/60 | 34/47 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 15/32 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 47% |
Catry recorded 14 aces . Mccormick managed to score 8 aces . Catry won 82% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Mccormick won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Catry | Mccormick |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 5/13 |
| % Converted | 29% | 38% |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Catry broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The American lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Mccormick conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Catry | |||
| Q1 Van Orderlain |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 106-95 | 106-95 | |
| Total points | 201 | 201 | |
| Winners | 49 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 60/90 | 60/90 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 49/60 | 49/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 17/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Mccormick | |||
| Q1 Stalder |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 92-79 | 92-79 | |
| Total points | 171 | 171 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/79 | 47/79 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 34/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 15/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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